Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
44.4%
|
3.10 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.72 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monterrey
15 matches
Cruz Azul
17 matches
| Monterrey | Statistic | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 29 | Goals For | 36 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.12 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 6.27 | Shots On Goal | 7.36 |
| 17.27 | Total Shots | 20.14 |
| 5.73 | Corners | 7 |
| 57.6% | Ball Possession | 59.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cruz Azul. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monterrey expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cruz Azul in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cruz Azul having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Monterrey sit 12 with 9 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 13:10, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Ocampos (4 goals), D. Rossi (1 goals), J. Corona (1 goals), with creative support from L. Ocampos (1 assists), D. Rossi (1 assists), Óliver Torres (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Cruz Azul approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 12 points from 7 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 12:11, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Márquez (2 goals), L. Romero (1 goals), J. Paradela (1 goals), with creative support from L. Romero (2 assists), C. Rodríguez (2 assists), J. Paradela (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 4 times, Cruz Azul won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Monterrey's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
Away
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Monterrey
Home
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | -17 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|