VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
13.09.2026 20:00

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monagas SC Win 62.3%
Draw 7%
Zamora FC Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monagas SC1.21
Zamora FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WWDLW
23 GF / 34 GA
Zamora FC Zamora FC
WLDWL
22 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monagas SC Monagas SC 21 matches
Zamora FC Zamora FC 21 matches
Monagas SC Statistic Zamora FC
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 7
13 Losses 8
23 Goals For 22
34 Goals Against 29
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
11 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Zamora FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zamora FC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Monagas SC Analysis

Monagas SC sit 12 with 18 points after 20 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 23:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zamora FC Analysis

Zamora FC sit 9 with 24 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 21:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monagas SC won 7 times, Zamora FC won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Monagas SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Monagas SC 4-3-3 / Zamora FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Monagas SC wins 7, draws 3, Zamora FC wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2