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VENEZUELA › PRIMERA DIVISIóN
24.10.2026 21:30
Monumental de Maturín

Monagas SC vs Puerto Cabello Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.1%
2.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
21.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Monagas SC Win 37.9%
Draw 16%
Puerto Cabello Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monagas SC1.11
Puerto Cabello1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monagas SC Monagas SC
D W D W W
8 GF / 5 GA
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
D W W D L
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monagas SC Monagas SC 26 matches
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 36 matches
Monagas SC Statistic Puerto Cabello
8 Wins 16
5 Draws 11
13 Losses 9
31 Goals For 48
39 Goals Against 36
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 21
18 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Puerto Cabello's more proactive style and Monagas SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Puerto Cabello. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Monagas SC Analysis

Monagas SC are currently 10 in the standings with 29 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 31:39 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

Puerto Cabello come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 40 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 35:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Monagas SC won 0 times, Puerto Cabello won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Monagas SC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Monagas SC 4-3-3 / Puerto Cabello 4-3-3
H2H summary: Monagas SC wins 0, draws 3, Puerto Cabello wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7 26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2