VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
08.08.2026 20:00
Monumental de Maturín
Referee: C. Marabay
Monagas SC
Match Timeline
Carabobo FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
J. Bilbao
Carabobo FC
🟨
30'
E. Lima
Monagas SC
🔄
33'
S. Herrera ↔ D. Castillo
Monagas SC
🟨
45+1'
E. Castillo
Carabobo FC
🔄
46'
A. Gonzalez ↔ M. Guaramato
Carabobo FC
51'
L. Gonzalez
Monagas SC
🔄
57'
L. Martinez ↔ Y. Orozco
Carabobo FC
🔄
57'
E. Castillo ↔ M. Cova
Carabobo FC
🔄
57'
J. Bilbao ↔ E. Neira
Carabobo FC
🔄
59'
A. Romero ↔ S. Natera
Monagas SC
🔄
59'
R. Rodriguez ↔ F. Basante
Monagas SC
🟨
65'
C. Ramirez
Monagas SC
🔄
67'
J. Fuentes ↔ E. Arzu
Carabobo FC
🟨
69'
J. Perez
Carabobo FC
🔄
78'
L. Gonzalez ↔ B. Uruena
Monagas SC
🔄
78'
C. Ramirez ↔ E. Carrion
Monagas SC
🟨
83'
R. Arace
Monagas SC
🟨
84'
E. Carrion
Monagas SC
🟥
90+2'
J. Ortiz
Monagas SC

Monagas SC vs Carabobo FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monagas SC Win 39.7%
Draw 15%
Carabobo FC Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monagas SC1.01
Carabobo FC1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WWDLW
16 GF / 26 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WLDWL
42 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
8
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monagas SC Monagas SC 15 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 26 matches
Monagas SC Statistic Carabobo FC
3 Wins 12
2 Draws 9
10 Losses 5
16 Goals For 42
26 Goals Against 24
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
8 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 13.75
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Carabobo FC's more proactive style and Monagas SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Carabobo FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 19 points while Monagas SC sit 12 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Carabobo FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control.

Monagas SC Analysis

Monagas SC are currently 12 in the standings with 11 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 14:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carabobo FC Analysis

Carabobo FC are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 23:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monagas SC won 3 times, Carabobo FC won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Monagas SC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Monagas SC 4-2-3-1 / Carabobo FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Monagas SC wins 3, draws 6, Carabobo FC wins 6

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 5 3 41:19 22 53
W W W W W
2 24 14 5 5 41:26 15 47
W D L W W
3 24 12 7 5 36:22 14 43
L L L W D
4 24 11 5 8 36:31 5 38
D W W D D
5 24 9 10 5 35:22 13 37
D W W W L
6 24 9 10 5 34:24 10 37
L W D D D
7 24 9 9 6 31:23 8 36
W D L D D
8 24 10 6 8 33:30 3 36
D L W L D
9 24 5 11 8 24:31 -7 26
D L L W D
10 24 7 4 13 26:35 -9 25
D W W L W
11 24 6 7 11 24:35 -11 25
L L L D L
12 24 7 4 13 30:46 -16 25
D W D L W
13 24 3 6 15 21:44 -23 15
D L W L L
14 24 3 5 16 21:45 -24 14
D L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2