KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
73.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mombasa Elite Win 64.2%
Draw 5.8%
Migori Youth Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mombasa Elite1.24
Migori Youth1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
WWDLW
44 GF / 26 GA
Migori Youth Migori Youth
WLDWL
49 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
10
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 29 matches
Migori Youth Migori Youth 30 matches
Mombasa Elite Statistic Migori Youth
20 Wins 20
1 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
44 Goals For 49
26 Goals Against 25
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
10 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Migori Youth. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Migori Youth having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Mombasa Elite Analysis

Mombasa Elite approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 64 points after 30 outings. With 21 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:26, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 15 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Migori Youth Analysis

Migori Youth approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 64 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 20 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 49:25 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Mombasa Elite won 3 times, Migori Youth won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Mombasa Elite's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: Mombasa Elite wins 3, draws 3, Migori Youth wins 4
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
01.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
27.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
0
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
3
1
W
27.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
1
0
W
20.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
18.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
0
1
L
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
H2H: Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth
03.05.26
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
12.12.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
3
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
4
1
W
26.01.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
1
W
10.03.24
H2H
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
19.11.23
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
4
L
30.04.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
2
1
L
07.01.23
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
1
1
D
02.07.22
H2H
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
4
0
L
02.03.22
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
1
W
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
27.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
1
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
3
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
2
1
W
22.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
2
0
W
10.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
29.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
1
0
W
11.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
H2H at home: Mombasa Elite
03.05.26
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
4
1
W
19.11.23
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
4
L
07.01.23
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
1
1
D
02.03.22
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
1
W
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
22.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
17.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
3
L
30.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
3
L
25.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
1
0
W
H2H away: Migori Youth
03.05.26
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
4
1
L
19.11.23
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
4
W
07.01.23
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
1
1
D
02.03.22
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D