BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Molodechno Haradzki Stadion
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Match Timeline
Smorgon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
D. Gruzhevskiy
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
38'
I. Koval · Assist: D. Velisevich
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
39'
I. Chernykh
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
46'
V. Kabachevskiy ↔ A. Tishko
Smorgon
🔄
46'
I. Bogdanovich ↔ M. Dukso
Smorgon
🔄
46'
K. Elagin ↔ J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🔄
46'
D. Gruzhevskiy ↔ E. Imeryakov
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
50'
M. Yablonskiy ↔ E. Mychelkin
Smorgon
🟨
57'
A. Alshanik
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
59'
F. Solovey ↔ D. Volkovets
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
69'
E. Shmarov ↔ T. Mamedov
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
69'
B. Fartuna ↔ R. Kukhley
Smorgon
76'
D. Velisevich · Assist: A. Alshanik
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
79'
A. Alshanik ↔ A. Voronovich
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🔄
79'
D. Velisevich ↔ V. Belashevich
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
🟨
89'
D. Volkovets
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Win 38.6%
Draw 20.9%
Smorgon Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 41.43
Smorgon1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
WWDLW
22 GF / 31 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 16 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 20 matches
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Statistic Smorgon
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
22 Goals For 26
31 Goals Against 30
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Smorgon. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Analysis

With 19 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 21:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon sit 16 with 14 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 18:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 won 1 times, Smorgon won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.1%)
H2H summary: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 wins 1, draws 4, Smorgon wins 2

Lineups

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Formation
Smorgon
D. Tretyak
D. Tretyak
D. Velisevich
🎯
D. Velisevich
E. Shmarov
E. Shmarov
I. Koval
I. Koval
Aleksandr Kotlyarov
Aleksandr Kotlyarov
P. Klenje
P. Klenje
D. Gruzhevskiy
D. Gruzhevskiy
I. Bogdanovich
I. Bogdanovich
Kirill Elagin
Kirill Elagin
C. Intsoen
C. Intsoen
V. Kabachevskiy
V. Kabachevskiy
V. Kovalevich
V. Kovalevich
A. Stankevich
A. Stankevich
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Tretyak
G
8
D. Velisevich
⚽ 76' 🎯 38' ↓ 79'
M
9
E. Shmarov
F
14
I. Koval
⚽ 38'
M
23
Aleksandr Kotlyarov
M
20
P. Klenje
M
12
D. Gruzhevskiy
↓ 46' 🟨 14'
D
Substitutes
17
V. Belashevich
↑ 79'
D
55
Egor Imeryakov
↑ 46'
M
21
M. Sokolovskiy
D
Smorgon 3-1-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
I. Bogdanovich
↓ 46'
D
5
Kirill Elagin
D
2
C. Intsoen
D
59
V. Kabachevskiy
F
78
V. Kovalevich
M
23
A. Stankevich
F
Substitutes
25
Y. Yarotskiy
M
27
A. Tishko
↑ 46'
D
52
E. Mychelkin
↑ 50'
M
17
M. Dukso
↑ 46'
F
1
M. Azarko
G
Last matches: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
26.07.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Bumprom
1
0
W
11.07.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Minsk II
2
3
L
05.07.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Osipovichy
5
1
W
27.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Lida
0
2
L
21.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Niva
0
6
L
13.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
4
L
07.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
01.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Dinamo Minsk II
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Ostrovets FC
3
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Slonim
1
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
BATE II
3
2
W
02.05.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
5
L
20.04.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Gomel II
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Orsha
3
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Volna
1
0
W
Last matches: Smorgon
25.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
W
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Smorgon
23.11.25
H2H
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
0
L
27.06.25
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
2
1
W
01.02.25
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
1
1
D
22.03.24
H2H
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
0
D
28.02.24
H2H
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
1
D
05.11.22
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
0
0
D
17.07.22
H2H
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
1
L
Last matches: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
11.07.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Minsk II
2
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Lida
0
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
4
L
01.06.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Dinamo Minsk II
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Slonim
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
11.04.26
1.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Orsha
3
0
W
H2H at home: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
27.06.25
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
2
1
W
01.02.25
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
1
1
D
05.11.22
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
0
0
D
Last matches: Smorgon
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H away: Smorgon
27.06.25
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
2
1
L
01.02.25
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
1
1
D
05.11.22
H2H
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Smorgon
0
0
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 16 9 3 4 31:18 13 30
W D L W L
5 16 8 3 5 28:26 2 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
7 16 8 2 6 28:26 2 26
W L W W W
8 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
9 16 7 3 6 30:22 8 24
L D L L W
10 16 7 1 8 22:31 -9 22
W L W L L
11 16 6 1 9 20:32 -12 19
W W L W L
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 16 4 5 7 23:23 0 17
L D W W L
14 16 4 5 7 20:24 -4 17
W D L W L
15 16 2 9 5 18:23 -5 15
L D D D L
16 16 4 3 9 14:26 -12 15
L W D L L
17 16 2 5 9 21:40 -19 11
L L L L L
18 16 2 1 13 18:48 -30 7
W L L L W