NORWAY ELITESERIEN
18.07.2026 16:00
Aker Stadion
Referee: Marius Lien, Norway
Molde
Match Timeline
Brann
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. De Roeve
Brann
🟨
20'
Samukelo Kabini
Molde
🔄
35'
V. Hoff ↔ D. Daga
Molde
35'
K. Eriksen · Assist: U. Mathisen
Brann
🟨
45+2'
Mathias Løvik
Molde
🔄
46'
I. Amundsen ↔ B. Risa
Molde
🔄
46'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter ↔ S. Diop
Molde
🟨
54'
Kristian Eriksen
Brann
🔄
63'
D. De Roeve ↔ V. Dragsnes
Brann
🔄
63'
K. M. Ingason ↔ N. Castro
Brann
🔄
63'
N. Holm ↔ J. Sorensen
Brann
🔄
69'
U. Mathisen ↔ S. Magnusson
Brann
🔄
76'
M. Lovik ↔ V. Bender
Molde
🟨
78'
Sivert Sira Hansen
Molde
🔄
82'
J. Abdullai ↔ T. Kone-Doherty
Molde
🟨
83'
Viktor Bender
Molde
🔄
83'
N. Wassberg ↔ B. Finne
Brann
88'
S. Diop · Assist: E. Breivik
Molde

Molde vs Brann Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Molde Win 61%
Draw 4%
Brann Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde1.66
Brann1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Molde Molde
WWDLW
36 GF / 28 GA
Brann Brann
WLDWL
39 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2.05
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
14
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
16
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Molde Molde 21 matches
Brann Brann 19 matches
Molde Statistic Brann
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 9
36 Goals For 39
28 Goals Against 30
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
14 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.85
13.08 Total Shots 13.08
4.92 Corners 6.54
58.7% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Brann arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Brann in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brann having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Brann.

Molde Analysis

Molde arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 20 points after 12 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Eirik Hestad (4 goals), Emil Breivik (4 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Eirik Hestad (2 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (2 assists), Sivert Sira Hansen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Brann Analysis

Brann sit 8 with 16 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 26:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Noah Jean Holm (5 goals), Kristall Máni Ingason (4 goals), Joachim Soltvedt (2 goals), with creative support from Ulrik Mathisen (4 assists), Niklas Castro (2 assists), Noah Jean Holm (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 10 times, Brann won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:12 from Molde's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Molde 4-2-3-1 / Brann 4-3-3
Missing players: Molde 2, Brann 3
H2H summary: Molde wins 10, draws 0, Brann wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4
Molde Home
21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7
Brann Away
21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen