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ITALY › SERIE B
11.10.2026 17:30
Alberto Braglia
Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena
Modena
Match Timeline
Hellas Verona
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
G. Caso · Assist: G. Brugman
Modena
🟨
16'
Alessandro Bianco
Modena
⚽
24'
D. Mosquera
Hellas Verona
⚽
28'
D. Mosquera
Hellas Verona
🟨
45+2'
Andrea Le Borgne
Hellas Verona
🔄
53'
A. Bianco ↔ F. Folino
Modena
🔄
53'
G. Olzer ↔ A. Belotti
Modena
🟨
54'
Andrias Edmundsson
Hellas Verona
VAR
62'
Daniel Tonoli
Modena
🔄
68'
D. De Battisti ↔ D. Bradaric
Hellas Verona
🔄
68'
N. Lella ↔ A. Bernede
Hellas Verona
🔄
68'
D. Livramento ↔ K. Sezonienko
Hellas Verona
🔄
74'
↔ N. Calabrese
Hellas Verona
🟨
77'
Andrias Edmundsson
Hellas Verona
🟥
77'
Andrias Edmundsson
Hellas Verona
🔄
79'
D. Mosquera ↔ T. Slotsager
Hellas Verona
🔄
81'
P. Azzi ↔ D. Montevago
Modena
⚽
85'
D. Montevago · Assist: G. Caso
Modena
🔄
89'
G. Brugman ↔ W. Acquah
Modena
🟨
90+7'
Andrea Belotti
Modena
⚽
90'
A. Belotti
Modena

Modena vs Hellas Verona Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.2%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Modena Win 42.8%
Draw 18.4%
Hellas Verona Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena1.39
Hellas Verona1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Modena Modena
WWDLW
16 GF / 8 GA
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
WLDWL
31 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.58
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
4
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
10
6.17
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Modena Modena 10 matches
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 12 matches
Modena Statistic Hellas Verona
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
16 Goals For 31
8 Goals Against 13
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.58
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
4 BTTS Yes 9
6 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 0
6.17 Shots On Goal 5.29
19.5 Total Shots 15
5.33 Corners 5.29
51.2% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hellas Verona. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Modena expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Hellas Verona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hellas Verona having the stronger overall control. Modena arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 10 points compared to Hellas Verona in 8 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Modena Analysis

Modena come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 10 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Ambrosino (2 goals), G. Olzer (2 goals), G. Caso (1 goals), with creative support from G. Ambrosino (2 assists), D. Tonoli (2 assists), A. Bianco (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Hellas Verona Analysis

Hellas Verona are currently 8 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Mulattieri (2 goals), A. Sarr (2 goals), D. Mosquera (2 goals), with creative support from A. Le Borgne (2 assists), D. Bradarić (2 assists), S. Mulattieri (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Modena won 0 times, Hellas Verona won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Modena's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Modena 4-3-3 / Hellas Verona 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Modena wins 0, draws 0, Hellas Verona wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation