ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Referee: G. Ayroldi
Modena
Match Timeline
Frosinone
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
G. Bracaglia ↔ J. Oyono
Frosinone
🟨
28'
Manuel De Luca
Modena
🟨
35'
Giorgio Cittadini
Frosinone
41'
Y. Massolin · Assist: L. Zanimacchia
Modena
🔄
46'
N. Pyyhtia ↔ S. Wiafe
Modena
🔄
46'
G. Cittadini ↔ G. Calvani
Frosinone
52'
F. Ghedjemis · Assist: G. Kvernadze
Frosinone
60'
F. Ghedjemis
Frosinone
🔄
66'
M. De Luca ↔ P. Mendes
Modena
🔄
69'
G. Calo ↔ B. L. Kone
Frosinone
🔄
69'
A. Raimondo ↔ M. Zilli
Frosinone
🟨
74'
Farès Ghedjemis
Frosinone
🟨
77'
Giorgi Kvernadze
Frosinone
🔄
79'
L. Zanimacchia ↔ M. Cotali
Modena
🔄
79'
G. Beyuku ↔ A. Imputato
Modena
🟨
82'
Gabriele Calvani
Frosinone
🔄
86'
Y. Massolin ↔ E. Colpo
Modena
🔄
87'
F. Gelli ↔ J. Gelli
Frosinone
🟨
88'
Edoardo Colpo
Modena
🟨
90+2'
Simone Santoro
Modena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
-
Probability Distribution
Modena Win 32.9%
Draw 19.6%
Frosinone Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena1.2
Frosinone1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Modena Modena
WWDLW
46 GF / 32 GA
Frosinone Frosinone
WLDWL
67 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
17
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
21
4.74
Shots on Goal
5.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Modena Modena 35 matches
Frosinone Frosinone 36 matches
Modena Statistic Frosinone
14 Wins 20
10 Draws 12
11 Losses 4
46 Goals For 67
32 Goals Against 37
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
17 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 30
17 Over 2.5 21
4 Over 3.5 14
14 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 3
4.74 Shots On Goal 5.81
15.46 Total Shots 16.81
5.71 Corners 5.92
50.4% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Modena expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Frosinone in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Frosinone having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Frosinone. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Modena Analysis

So far, Modena have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 52 points from 34 matches. The record of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 44:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Gliozzi (11 goals), D. Tonoli (5 goals), P. Mendes (4 goals), with creative support from S. Santoro (4 assists), L. Magnino (4 assists), M. De Luca (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Frosinone Analysis

Frosinone approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 69 points after 34 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 12 draws, and 3 losses, with a 65:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Ghedjemis (12 goals), A. Raimondo (10 goals), G. Calo (8 goals), with creative support from G. Calo (12 assists), Ilario Monterisi (5 assists), Giorgi Kvernadze (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Modena won 0 times, Frosinone won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Modena's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Modena 3-5-2 / Frosinone 4-3-3
H2H summary: Modena wins 0, draws 3, Frosinone wins 3
Stats
Modena Modena
Frosinone Frosinone
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 6
16 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Goal 9
8 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 5
11 Shots insidebox 14
8 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Goalkeeper Saves 6
353 Total passes 329
289 Passes accurate 269
1.91 expected_goals 2.40
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Modena
Formation
Frosinone
M. Pezzolato
M. Pezzolato
D. Tonoli
D. Tonoli
A. Dellavalle
A. Dellavalle
B. Nieling
B. Nieling
G. Beyuku
G. Beyuku
Y. Massolin
Y. Massolin
S. Santoro
S. Santoro
N. Pyyhtia
N. Pyyhtia
L. Zanimacchia
🎯
L. Zanimacchia
M. De Luca
M. De Luca
G. Ambrosino
G. Ambrosino
L. Palmisani
L. Palmisani
A. Oyono
A. Oyono
I. Monterisi
I. Monterisi
G. Cittadini
G. Cittadini
G. Bracaglia
G. Bracaglia
G. Calo
G. Calo
M. Cichella
M. Cichella
F. Gelli
F. Gelli
F. Ghedjemis
⚽ 2
F. Ghedjemis
A. Raimondo
A. Raimondo
G. Kvernadze
🎯
G. Kvernadze
Modena 3-5-2
Starting XI
22
M. Pezzolato
G
77
D. Tonoli
D
25
A. Dellavalle
D
20
B. Nieling
2
G. Beyuku
↓ 79'
M
17
Y. Massolin
⚽ 41' ↓ 86'
M
8
S. Santoro
🟨 90+2'
M
18
N. Pyyhtia
↓ 46'
M
98
L. Zanimacchia
🎯 41' ↓ 79'
M
99
M. De Luca
↓ 66' 🟨 28'
F
10
G. Ambrosino
F
Substitutes
78
F. Bagheria
G
13
A. Laidani
G
28
D. Adorni
D
11
P. Mendes
↑ 66'
F
19
S. Nador
D
29
M. Cotali
↑ 79'
D
33
C. Cauz
D
90
A. Imputato
↑ 79'
71
S. Wiafe
↑ 46'
M
24
E. Colpo
↑ 86' 🟨 88'
F
80
P. Arnaboldi
M
Frosinone 4-3-3
Starting XI
22
L. Palmisani
G
20
A. Oyono
D
30
I. Monterisi
D
2
G. Cittadini
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
D
79
G. Bracaglia
↓ 7'
D
14
G. Calo
↓ 69'
M
16
M. Cichella
M
10
F. Gelli
↓ 87'
M
7
F. Ghedjemis
⚽ 52' ⚽ 60' 🟨 74'
F
9
A. Raimondo
↓ 69'
F
17
G. Kvernadze
🎯 52' 🟨 77'
F
Substitutes
75
M. Pisseri
G
12
E. Lolic
G
90
E. Vergani
F
92
B. L. Kone
↑ 69'
M
28
M. Zilli
↑ 69'
F
80
A. Fiori
F
40
S. Fini
F
3
G. Calvani
↑ 46' 🟨 82'
D
21
J. Oyono
↑ 7'
D
32
E. Masciangelo
D
6
J. Gelli
↑ 87'
D
99
K. Barcella
F
Last matches: Modena
12.05.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ser
Modena
Avellino
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
24.04.26
Ser
Modena
Monza
0
1
L
14.04.26
Ser
Modena
Catanzaro
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Modena
Sudtirol
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Modena
Bari
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Modena
Mantova
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ser
Modena
Spezia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Modena
Cesena
0
0
D
03.03.26
Ser
Modena
Virtus Entella
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Modena
Padova
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Modena
Carrarese
2
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Modena
Venezia
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Modena
Sampdoria
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Modena
Empoli
0
0
D
24.01.26
Ser
Modena
Palermo
0
0
D
18.01.26
Ser
Modena
Pescara
2
0
W
11.01.26
Ser
Modena
Padova
0
2
L
Last matches: Frosinone
08.05.26
Ser
Frosinone
Mantova
5
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Frosinone
Juve Stabia
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Frosinone
Carrarese
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ser
Frosinone
Palermo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Frosinone
Padova
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Sudtirol
3
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Bari
2
1
W
14.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Cesena
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Sampdoria
3
0
W
04.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Pescara
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Catanzaro
2
2
D
20.02.26
Ser
Frosinone
Empoli
2
2
D
15.02.26
Ser
Frosinone
Spezia
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Frosinone
Avellino
3
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Frosinone
Venezia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Frosinone
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Frosinone
Reggiana
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Frosinone
Monza
2
2
D
10.01.26
Ser
Frosinone
Catanzaro
2
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Frosinone
Empoli
1
1
D
H2H: Modena vs Frosinone
18.04.26
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Frosinone
Modena
2
2
D
18.01.25
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
1
1
D
27.08.24
H2H
Frosinone
Modena
1
1
D
14.01.23
H2H
Frosinone
Modena
2
1
L
14.08.22
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
0
1
L
Last matches: Modena
12.05.26
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Modena
Reggiana
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Modena
Mantova
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ser
Modena
Spezia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Modena
Cesena
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Modena
Padova
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Modena
Carrarese
2
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Modena
Sampdoria
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Modena
Palermo
0
0
D
26.12.25
Ser
Modena
Monza
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Modena
Venezia
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Modena
Catanzaro
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Modena
Sudtirol
0
0
D
02.11.25
Ser
Modena
Juve Stabia
3
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
Modena
Empoli
2
1
W
05.10.25
Ser
Modena
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
28.09.25
Ser
Modena
Pescara
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Modena
Bari
3
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Modena
Avellino
1
1
D
H2H at home: Modena
18.04.26
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
L
18.01.25
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
1
1
D
14.08.22
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
0
1
L
Last matches: Frosinone
01.05.26
Ser
Frosinone
Juve Stabia
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Sudtirol
3
1
W
14.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Cesena
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Frosinone
Catanzaro
2
2
D
15.02.26
Ser
Frosinone
Spezia
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Frosinone
Avellino
3
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Frosinone
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
17.01.26
Ser
Frosinone
Monza
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Frosinone
Empoli
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ser
Frosinone
Pescara
2
1
W
29.11.25
Ser
Frosinone
Reggiana
1
0
W
22.11.25
Ser
Frosinone
Bari
3
2
W
01.11.25
Ser
Frosinone
Carrarese
2
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Frosinone
Sampdoria
1
1
D
04.10.25
Ser
Frosinone
Venezia
0
3
L
27.09.25
Ser
Frosinone
Mantova
5
1
W
23.09.25
Cop
Frosinone
Cagliari
1
4
L
13.09.25
Ser
Frosinone
Padova
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Frosinone
Palermo
0
0
D
17.08.25
Cop
Frosinone
Monza
1
0
W
H2H away: Frosinone
18.04.26
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
1
2
W
18.01.25
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
1
1
D
14.08.22
H2H
Modena
Frosinone
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation