SERBIA SUPER LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: M. Milanovic
Mladost Lucani
Match Timeline
Napredak
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Z. Udovicic
Mladost Lucani
🔄
46'
J. Djurkovic ↔ D. Djokic
Mladost Lucani
🔄
46'
U. Ignjatovic ↔ L. Laban
Napredak
🔄
51'
F. Zunic ↔ V. Kijevcanin
Mladost Lucani
🔄
71'
N. Stevanovic ↔ F. Krstic
Napredak
🔄
80'
I. Hadzic ↔ U. Ljubomirac
Mladost Lucani
🔄
83'
V. Miletic ↔ D. Jovanovic
Napredak
🔄
90'
J. Tumbasevic ↔ N. Milojevic
Mladost Lucani

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mladost Lucani Win 79.6%
Draw 6.4%
Napredak Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mladost Lucani1.37
Napredak1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
WWDLW
32 GF / 52 GA
Napredak Napredak
WLDWL
30 GF / 75 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
18
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
22
2.78
Shots on Goal
2.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 36 matches
Napredak Napredak 36 matches
Mladost Lucani Statistic Napredak
10 Wins 3
13 Draws 9
13 Losses 24
32 Goals For 30
52 Goals Against 75
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
18 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 22
9 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 5
15 Failed To Score 16
2.78 Shots On Goal 2.53
8.36 Total Shots 9.28
3.22 Corners 3.67
39.6% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Napredak. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mladost Lucani expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Napredak in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Napredak having the stronger overall control. Napredak arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Mladost Lucani arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 32 points compared to Napredak in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mladost Lucani Analysis

Mladost Lucani sit 14 with 32 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 23:46, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ciric (6 goals), P. Bojic (6 goals), I. Hadzic (4 goals), with creative support from J. Ciric (3 assists), P. Bojic (3 assists), A. Varjacic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Napredak Analysis

Napredak approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats with a 26:65 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Andrija Majdevac (9 goals), Miloš Vulić (4 goals), N. Bogdanovski (4 goals), with creative support from M. Toseski (4 assists), Aleksandar Lutovac (3 assists), Nebojša Bastajić (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mladost Lucani won 10 times, Napredak won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Mladost Lucani's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Mladost Lucani 5-3-2 / Napredak 4-4-2
H2H summary: Mladost Lucani wins 10, draws 1, Napredak wins 4
Stats
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
Napredak Napredak
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
352 Total passes 566
279 Passes accurate 491
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mladost Lucani
Formation
Napredak
S. Stamenkovic
S. Stamenkovic
A. Varjacic
A. Varjacic
M. Orescanin
M. Orescanin
N. Cirkovic
N. Cirkovic
M. Joksimovic
M. Joksimovic
Z. Udovicic
Z. Udovicic
J. Tumbasevic
J. Tumbasevic
F. Zunic
F. Zunic
J. Djurkovic
J. Djurkovic
I. Hadzic
I. Hadzic
J. Ciric
J. Ciric
V. Savic
V. Savic
U. Ignjatovic
U. Ignjatovic
L. Miladinovic
L. Miladinovic
S. Bukorac
S. Bukorac
N. Vukajlovic
N. Vukajlovic
D. Bojat
D. Bojat
M. Toseski
M. Toseski
V. Miletic
V. Miletic
A. Novakovic
A. Novakovic
N. Stevanovic
N. Stevanovic
N. Bogdanovski
N. Bogdanovski
Mladost Lucani 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
S. Stamenkovic
G
17
A. Varjacic
D
37
M. Orescanin
D
30
N. Cirkovic
D
12
M. Joksimovic
D
33
Z. Udovicic
⚽ 14'
D
8
J. Tumbasevic
↓ 90'
M
18
F. Zunic
↓ 51'
M
42
J. Djurkovic
↓ 46'
M
9
I. Hadzic
↓ 80'
25
J. Ciric
Substitutes
23
B. Matijasevic
G
28
N. Boranijasevic
D
38
N. Milojevic
↑ 90'
M
5
V. Kijevcanin
↑ 51'
M
45
M. Adam
F
31
O. Alempijevic
F
20
A. Milosevic
D
35
N. Lekovic
D
77
U. Ljubomirac
↑ 80'
M
36
D. Djokic
↑ 46'
22
M. Todosijevic
D
Napredak 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
V. Savic
G
24
U. Ignjatovic
↓ 46'
D
70
L. Miladinovic
5
S. Bukorac
D
7
N. Vukajlovic
D
23
D. Bojat
M
22
M. Toseski
M
95
V. Miletic
↓ 83'
M
2
A. Novakovic
M
18
N. Stevanovic
↓ 71'
F
33
N. Bogdanovski
F
Substitutes
19
A. Dordevic
88
I. Jelicic
D
14
L. Laban
↑ 46'
M
17
U. Sremcevic
77
L. Drobnjak
4
F. Krstic
↑ 71'
M
99
P. Mihajlovic
8
D. Jovanovic
↑ 83'
F
Last matches: Mladost Lucani
05.07.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
Macva
2
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar
3
1
W
22.06.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
Petrovac
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Javor
4
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2
1
W
27.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
TSC Backa Topola
2
1
W
23.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
IMT Novi Beograd
1
1
D
08.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
2
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
FK Partizan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Železničar Pančevo
0
5
L
09.03.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar
0
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Cukaricki
1
3
L
23.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Javor
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
TSC Backa Topola
1
3
L
08.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Vojvodina
0
5
L
01.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
OFK Beograd
0
0
D
Last matches: Napredak
16.05.26
Sup
Napredak
Radnicki 1923
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Napredak
Radnicki NIS
0
1
L
27.04.26
Sup
Napredak
Javor
0
4
L
23.04.26
Sup
Napredak
IMT Novi Beograd
0
1
L
19.04.26
Sup
Napredak
TSC Backa Topola
1
4
L
08.04.26
Sup
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Napredak
TSC Backa Topola
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Napredak
Vojvodina
1
4
L
16.03.26
Sup
Napredak
OFK Beograd
2
2
D
08.03.26
Sup
Napredak
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
4
L
01.03.26
Sup
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1
1
D
21.02.26
Sup
Napredak
Radnik Surdulica
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Napredak
Radnicki NIS
2
4
L
08.02.26
Sup
Napredak
IMT Novi Beograd
0
2
L
31.01.26
Sup
Napredak
Javor
1
2
L
22.01.26
Fri
Napredak
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
18.01.26
Fri
Napredak
Navbahor
3
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
Napredak
FK Tobol Kostanay
0
0
D
12.01.26
Fri
Napredak
AFC Hermannstadt
2
2
D
H2H: Mladost Lucani vs Napredak
24.05.26
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
0
W
08.04.26
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
2
0
W
08.11.25
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
0
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
1
2
W
22.04.24
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
0
1
W
26.04.23
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
0
1
L
04.04.23
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
0
0
D
08.10.22
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
1
W
15.12.21
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
2
W
04.09.21
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
0
2
W
14.08.21
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
2
1
L
15.05.21
H2H
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
2
0
L
Last matches: Mladost Lucani
05.07.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
Macva
2
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar
3
1
W
22.06.26
Fri
Mladost Lucani
Petrovac
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2
1
W
23.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
0
0
D
08.04.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
FK Partizan
1
1
D
09.03.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
TSC Backa Topola
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Mladost Lucani
OFK Beograd
0
0
D
14.12.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
0
2
L
29.11.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
2
1
W
19.10.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Železničar Pančevo
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Cukaricki
1
1
D
21.09.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Javor
2
1
W
30.08.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Vojvodina
0
0
D
15.08.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
4
L
02.08.25
Sup
Mladost Lucani
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H at home: Mladost Lucani
24.05.26
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
0
W
08.04.26
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
2
0
W
23.02.25
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
0
W
22.04.24
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
2
L
26.04.23
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
0
1
L
08.10.22
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
1
W
15.12.21
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
2
W
Last matches: Napredak
10.05.26
Sup
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3
0
W
27.04.26
Sup
Napredak
Javor
0
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Napredak
TSC Backa Topola
1
4
L
08.04.26
Sup
Napredak
Mladost Lucani
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Napredak
Vojvodina
1
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Napredak
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
4
L
21.02.26
Sup
Napredak
Radnik Surdulica
1
2
L
08.02.26
Sup
Napredak
IMT Novi Beograd
0
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
Napredak
FK Partizan
2
3
L
29.11.25
Sup
Napredak
Novi Pazar
1
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Napredak
TSC Backa Topola
1
1
D
18.10.25
Sup
Napredak
OFK Beograd
0
4
L
28.09.25
Sup
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1
2
L
14.09.25
Sup
Napredak
Radnicki NIS
0
3
L
22.08.25
Sup
Napredak
Javor
0
0
D
17.08.25
Sup
Napredak
Radnicki 1923
0
0
D
04.08.25
Sup
Napredak
Železničar Pančevo
0
0
D
19.07.25
Sup
Napredak
Cukaricki
0
1
L
H2H away: Napredak
24.05.26
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
0
L
08.04.26
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
2
0
L
23.02.25
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
0
L
22.04.24
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
1
L
16.12.23
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
1
2
W
26.04.23
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
0
1
W
08.10.22
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
1
L
15.12.21
H2H
Mladost Lucani
Napredak
3
2
L

Standings

Superliga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 13 11 13 41:51 -10 50
D W D D W
2 37 14 7 16 46:49 -3 49
W W W W L
3 37 11 13 13 33:52 -19 46
W W L W W
4 37 11 12 14 45:45 0 45
D L W D L
5 37 9 18 10 41:42 -1 45
D D D D W
6 37 10 12 15 41:54 -13 42
D L L D W
7 37 4 9 24 37:72 -35 21
L L L L L
8 37 3 9 25 30:76 -46 18
L D W L L
Relegation