CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Lokotrans Arena
Referee: V. Zaoral
Mlada Boleslav
Match Timeline
Zlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
David Kozel
Mlada Boleslav
42'
J. Kolarik · Assist: C. Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
O. Karafiat ↔ D. Kostka
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
K. Penkevics ↔ M. Cupak
Zlin
🟨
53'
Tomas Hellebrand
Zlin
🔄
63'
M. Sevcik ↔ F. Lehky
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
63'
C. Kabongo ↔ J. Klima
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
63'
T. Hellebrand ↔ T. Ulbrich
Zlin
🔄
64'
M. Koubek ↔ D. Machalik
Zlin
🔄
73'
S. Kanu ↔ T. Poznar
Zlin
🔄
78'
J. Kolarik ↔ D. Langhamer
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
78'
M. Subert ↔ S. John
Mlada Boleslav
81'
T. Ulbrich · Assist: T. Poznar
Zlin
🟨
84'
Tomáš Poznar
Zlin
🔄
84'
C. Nombil ↔ J. Kalabiska
Zlin
🟨
90+1'
Filip Lehký
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
90+2'
Tom Ulbrich
Zlin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mlada Boleslav Win 80.8%
Draw 9.9%
Zlin Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mlada Boleslav1.48
Zlin1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WWDLW
44 GF / 52 GA
Zlin Zlin
WLDWL
39 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
19
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
18
4.42
Shots on Goal
2.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 31 matches
Zlin Zlin 31 matches
Mlada Boleslav Statistic Zlin
8 Wins 10
12 Draws 7
11 Losses 14
44 Goals For 39
52 Goals Against 49
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
19 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 9
4.42 Shots On Goal 2.97
11.97 Total Shots 10.81
4.55 Corners 3.87
54.5% Ball Possession 40.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Zlin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zlin. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Mlada Boleslav have collected 35 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 44:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sevcik (9 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zlin Analysis

Zlin sit 12 with 34 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 37:48 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cupak (7 goals), T. Poznar (6 goals), Jakub Černín (5 goals), with creative support from S. Kanu (4 assists), M. Cupak (3 assists), Tom Ulbrich (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mlada Boleslav won 8 times, Zlin won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:21 from Mlada Boleslav's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1 / Zlin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mlada Boleslav wins 8, draws 4, Zlin wins 3
Stats
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
Zlin Zlin
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 2
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 8
7 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
502 Total passes 320
422 Passes accurate 248
1.62 expected_goals 1.07
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mlada Boleslav
Formation
Zlin
J. Floder
J. Floder
D. Donat
D. Donat
M. Kralik
M. Kralik
O. Karafiat
O. Karafiat
J. Harustak
J. Harustak
J. Zika
J. Zika
D. Kozel
D. Kozel
M. Subert
M. Subert
M. Sevcik
M. Sevcik
J. Kolarik
J. Kolarik
C. Kabongo
🎯
C. Kabongo
S. Bachurek
S. Bachurek
M. Kopecny
M. Kopecny
J. Cernin
J. Cernin
J. Kolar
J. Kolar
M. Pisoja
M. Pisoja
C. Nombil
C. Nombil
K. Penkevics
K. Penkevics
M. Koubek
M. Koubek
T. Hellebrand
T. Hellebrand
J. Pesek
J. Pesek
S. Kanu
S. Kanu
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
59
J. Floder
G
13
D. Donat
D
3
M. Kralik
D
44
O. Karafiat
↓ 46'
D
5
J. Harustak
D
76
J. Zika
19
D. Kozel
🟨 30'
M
21
M. Subert
↓ 78'
22
M. Sevcik
↓ 63'
M
49
J. Kolarik
⚽ 42' ↓ 78'
M
25
C. Kabongo
🎯 42' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
42
V. Vorel
G
11
M. Hybs
D
28
D. Langhamer
↑ 78'
M
10
F. Lehky
↑ 63' 🟨 90+1'
F
23
J. Klima
↑ 63'
F
31
D. Kostka
↑ 46'
D
15
N. Penner
M
20
S. John
↑ 78'
M
32
F. Matousek
D
37
M. Krulich
F
Zlin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
64
S. Bachurek
G
23
M. Kopecny
D
24
J. Cernin
D
28
J. Kolar
D
82
M. Pisoja
19
C. Nombil
↓ 84'
M
5
K. Penkevics
↓ 46'
M
15
M. Koubek
↓ 64'
M
53
T. Hellebrand
↓ 63' 🟨 53'
M
10
J. Pesek
M
14
S. Kanu
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
34
M. Knobloch
G
91
J. Kalabiska
↑ 84'
D
88
T. Poznar
🎯 81' ↑ 73' 🟨 84'
F
31
L. Bartosak
D
39
A. Krapka
D
8
D. Machalik
↑ 64'
M
6
J. Didiba
M
26
M. Cupak
↑ 46'
M
4
T. Ulbrich
⚽ 81' ↑ 63' 🟨 90+2'
M
30
L. Branecky
F
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Skalica
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Hanácká
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Petržalka
3
3
D
23.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
1
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
2
4
L
02.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Pardubice
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
2
W
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
04.04.26
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Zlin
Vysočina Jihlava
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
01.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
3
0
W
H2H: Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin
09.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
3
2
L
31.03.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
5
9
W
30.04.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
30.07.22
H2H
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
17.04.22
H2H
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
W
20.11.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
0
W
24.02.21
H2H
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
L
29.08.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
3
L
02.06.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
30.10.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
19.10.19
H2H
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
W
24.05.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
0
W
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
4
3
W
06.12.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
02.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
1
4
L
25.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
2
4
L
04.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
0
0
D
21.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
30.08.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
19.08.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Plzen
0
5
L
H2H at home: Mlada Boleslav
09.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
2
W
30.04.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
0
W
29.08.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
3
L
02.06.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
30.10.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
24.05.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
0
W
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
16.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Pardubice
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
21.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Hradec Králové
0
0
D
14.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovan Liberec
0
2
L
06.12.25
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
3
L
23.11.25
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
0
2
L
01.11.25
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
28.09.25
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
1
0
W
31.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Sparta Praha
1
3
L
16.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Sigma Olomouc
0
1
L
02.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Karviná
1
0
W
19.07.25
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
1
W
H2H away: Zlin
09.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
L
31.03.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
0
L
29.08.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
3
W
02.06.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
30.10.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
L
24.05.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
0
L

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2
Zlin Away
35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation