CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
19.09.2026 13:00
Lokotrans Arena

Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mlada Boleslav Win 69.5%
Draw 3.6%
Zbrojovka Brno Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mlada Boleslav1.99
Zbrojovka Brno1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WWDLW
44 GF / 22 GA
Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno
WLDWL
42 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2.59
Average Goals Scored
2
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
10
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
11
5.67
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 17 matches
Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 21 matches
Mlada Boleslav Statistic Zbrojovka Brno
12 Wins 14
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 5
44 Goals For 42
22 Goals Against 23
2.59 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
10 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 5
5.67 Shots On Goal 3
12.5 Total Shots 9.43
4.83 Corners 3.29
50.5% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zbrojovka Brno. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mlada Boleslav expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Zbrojovka Brno in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zbrojovka Brno having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

Mlada Boleslav approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 14 points after 6 outings. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 15:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Šubert (4 goals), J. Klíma (3 goals), S. John (2 goals), with creative support from S. John (3 assists), J. Klíma (1 assists), D. Langhamer (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Zbrojovka Brno Analysis

Zbrojovka Brno are currently 7 in the standings with 13 points from 7 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Vašulín (4 goals), A. Vaníček (2 goals), T. Vachoušek (1 goals), with creative support from T. Vachoušek (2 assists), A. Danté (2 assists), A. Vaníček (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mlada Boleslav won 1 times, Zbrojovka Brno won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Mlada Boleslav's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Mlada Boleslav 4-1-4-1 / Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3
H2H summary: Mlada Boleslav wins 1, draws 2, Zbrojovka Brno wins 1

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 21:5 16 17
W W D D W
2 7 5 1 1 10:4 6 16
W W W D W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
W W D W D
4 7 4 1 2 13:8 5 13
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 10:6 4 13
W L D L W
6 7 4 1 2 15:13 2 13
W W L L D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 6:6 0 11
D W L L W
9 7 2 4 1 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
10 7 3 0 4 13:12 1 9
L L W W L
11 7 3 0 4 4:13 -9 9
L L W W L
12 6 1 3 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D W D
13 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
L W L L L
14 7 0 3 4 5:12 -7 3
D D L L L
15 7 0 2 5 5:12 -7 2
D L L D L
16 7 0 0 7 6:16 -10 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs