CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Lokotrans Arena
Referee: A. Bohata
Mlada Boleslav
Match Timeline
Teplice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
O. Karafiat ↔ F. Matousek
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
J. Klima ↔ M. Krulich
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
M. Riznic ↔ M. Radosta
Teplice
🔄
46'
T. Zlatohlavek ↔ I. Hopi
Teplice
🔄
59'
L. Takacs ↔ L. Marecek
Teplice
🔄
59'
M. Bilek ↔ P. Kodes
Teplice
🔄
60'
F. Lehky ↔ D. Langhamer
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
60'
D. Kostka ↔ N. Penner
Mlada Boleslav
64'
I. Hopi · Assist: M. Kozak
Teplice
🔄
78'
J. Harustak ↔ M. Sevcik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
81'
J. Fortelny ↔ D. Vecerka
Teplice
90'
M. Kozak · Assist: P. Kodes
Teplice

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mlada Boleslav Win 63.3%
Draw 0%
Teplice Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mlada Boleslav1.36
Teplice1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WWDLW
49 GF / 55 GA
Teplice Teplice
WLDWL
38 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
21
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
15
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 34 matches
Teplice Teplice 34 matches
Mlada Boleslav Statistic Teplice
9 Wins 9
13 Draws 12
12 Losses 13
49 Goals For 38
55 Goals Against 42
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
21 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 22
21 Over 2.5 15
14 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 10
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.35
12.32 Total Shots 10.24
4.56 Corners 3.91
54.8% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Teplice. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mlada Boleslav expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Teplice in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Teplice having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

So far, Mlada Boleslav have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 35 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 44:52 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Sevcik (9 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), D. Marecek (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (4 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Teplice Analysis

So far, Teplice have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 29 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 29:38 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Bilek (9 goals), J. Auta (5 goals), M. Pulkrab (5 goals), with creative support from M. Pulkrab (4 assists), Matej Radosta (2 assists), D. Trubac (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mlada Boleslav won 9 times, Teplice won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Mlada Boleslav's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1 / Teplice 4-4-2
H2H summary: Mlada Boleslav wins 9, draws 2, Teplice wins 4
Stats
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
Teplice Teplice
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
19 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 5
9 Blocked Shots 2
17 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
505 Total passes 340
434 Passes accurate 274
3.10 expected_goals 1.74
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mlada Boleslav
Formation
Teplice
J. Floder
J. Floder
D. Mares
D. Mares
O. Karafiat
O. Karafiat
J. Harustak
J. Harustak
M. Hybs
M. Hybs
D. Kozel
D. Kozel
D. Donat
D. Donat
D. Kostka
D. Kostka
F. Lehky
F. Lehky
J. Kolarik
J. Kolarik
J. Klima
J. Klima
K. Lichtenberg
K. Lichtenberg
J. Jakubko
J. Jakubko
L. Takacs
L. Takacs
E. Fully
E. Fully
J. Svanda
J. Svanda
D. Marecek
D. Marecek
M. Bilek
M. Bilek
J. Fortelny
J. Fortelny
M. Riznic
M. Riznic
T. Zlatohlavek
T. Zlatohlavek
M. Kozak
🎯
M. Kozak
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
59
J. Floder
G
24
D. Mares
D
44
O. Karafiat
↓ 46'
D
5
J. Harustak
↓ 78'
D
11
M. Hybs
D
19
D. Kozel
M
13
D. Donat
M
31
D. Kostka
↓ 60'
M
10
F. Lehky
↓ 60'
M
49
J. Kolarik
M
23
J. Klima
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
42
V. Vorel
G
22
M. Sevcik
↑ 78'
M
28
D. Langhamer
↑ 60'
M
3
M. Kralik
D
15
N. Penner
↑ 60'
M
20
S. John
M
21
M. Subert
25
C. Kabongo
F
32
F. Matousek
↑ 46'
D
37
M. Krulich
↑ 46'
F
4
A. Zouhar
D
Teplice 3-5-2
Starting XI
31
K. Lichtenberg
G
5
J. Jakubko
D
22
L. Takacs
↓ 59'
D
18
E. Fully
D
3
J. Svanda
M
37
D. Marecek
M
6
M. Bilek
↓ 59'
M
8
J. Fortelny
↓ 81'
M
25
M. Riznic
↓ 46'
7
T. Zlatohlavek
↓ 46'
F
11
M. Kozak
⚽ 90' 🎯 64'
F
Substitutes
33
R. Ludha
G
23
L. Marecek
↑ 59'
M
16
P. Kodes
🎯 90' ↑ 59'
D
35
M. Radosta
↑ 46'
M
28
D. Vecerka
↑ 81'
D
21
I. Hopi
⚽ 64' ↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
Last matches: Teplice
18.07.26
Fri
Teplice
Ružomberok
3
0
W
13.07.26
Fri
Teplice
Wacker Innsbruck
3
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Teplice
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Teplice
Příbram
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
Teplice
Spartak Trnava
2
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Teplice
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Teplice
Zlin
4
2
W
09.05.26
Cze
Teplice
Baník Ostrava
2
1
W
03.05.26
Cze
Teplice
Slovácko
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cze
Teplice
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Teplice
Zlin
2
3
L
12.04.26
Cze
Teplice
Sparta Praha
0
1
L
04.04.26
Cze
Teplice
Plzen
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Teplice
Zbrojovka Brno
1
3
L
15.03.26
Cze
Teplice
Slovan Liberec
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cze
Teplice
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
28.02.26
Cze
Teplice
Pardubice
1
1
D
22.02.26
Cze
Teplice
Sigma Olomouc
1
3
L
15.02.26
Cze
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cze
Teplice
Karviná
2
0
W
H2H: Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice
23.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
15.02.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
2
3
W
04.05.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
2
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
W
13.04.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
1
2
L
04.11.23
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
1
0
L
25.04.23
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
06.11.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
2
W
19.12.21
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
1
W
11.04.21
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
1
3
W
07.04.21
H2H
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
L
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
4
3
W
06.12.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
02.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
1
4
L
25.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
2
4
L
04.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
0
0
D
21.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
30.08.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
19.08.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Plzen
0
5
L
H2H at home: Mlada Boleslav
23.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
15.02.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
1
2
L
06.11.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
2
W
21.08.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
1
W
Last matches: Teplice
18.07.26
Fri
Teplice
Ružomberok
3
0
W
13.07.26
Fri
Teplice
Wacker Innsbruck
3
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Teplice
Zlin
4
2
W
18.04.26
Cze
Teplice
Zlin
2
3
L
04.04.26
Cze
Teplice
Plzen
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Teplice
Zbrojovka Brno
1
3
L
15.03.26
Cze
Teplice
Slovan Liberec
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cze
Teplice
Pardubice
1
1
D
15.02.26
Cze
Teplice
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cze
Teplice
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
18.01.26
Fri
Teplice
Železničar Pančevo
2
2
D
30.11.25
Cze
Teplice
Bohemians 1905
1
0
W
09.11.25
Cze
Teplice
Sparta Praha
2
2
D
25.10.25
Cze
Teplice
Hradec Králové
0
0
D
04.10.25
Cze
Teplice
Dukla Praha
3
1
W
20.09.25
Cze
Teplice
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
17.09.25
Cze
Teplice
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
30.08.25
Cze
Teplice
Karviná
1
4
L
16.08.25
Cze
Teplice
Slovácko
1
2
L
09.08.25
Cze
Teplice
Slavia Praha
0
3
L
H2H away: Teplice
23.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
W
15.02.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
1
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
2
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
1
2
W
06.11.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
0
L
02.07.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
2
L
21.08.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
1
L

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation