CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Lokotrans Arena
Referee: S. Volek
Mlada Boleslav
Match Timeline
Dukla Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
K. Milla
Dukla Praha
🟨
46'
Samson Tijani
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
D. Kostka ↔ J. Kolarik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
C. Kabongo ↔ J. Klima
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
J. Zika ↔ D. Kozel
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
S. John ↔ M. Subert
Mlada Boleslav
55'
D. Gilbert · Assist: M. Pourzitidis
Dukla Praha
62'
O. Karafiat · Assist: M. Sevcik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
63'
D. Kreiker ↔ R. Mikus
Dukla Praha
🟨
73'
Diego Velasquez
Dukla Praha
🔄
80'
D. Gilbert ↔ B. Unusic
Dukla Praha
🔄
80'
D. Velasquez ↔ M. Hanousek
Dukla Praha
🔄
82'
D. Langhamer ↔ F. Lehky
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
90+1'
K. Milla ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
90+1'
S. Tijani ↔ P. Gaszczyk
Dukla Praha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mlada Boleslav Win 51%
Draw 14%
Dukla Praha Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mlada Boleslav1.41
Dukla Praha1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WWDLW
45 GF / 53 GA
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WLDWL
21 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
0.66
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
20
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
9
4.44
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 32 matches
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 32 matches
Mlada Boleslav Statistic Dukla Praha
8 Wins 4
13 Draws 11
11 Losses 17
45 Goals For 21
53 Goals Against 45
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
20 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 9
14 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 16
4.44 Shots On Goal 2.94
12.19 Total Shots 9.38
4.53 Corners 3.47
54.7% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dukla Praha. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Dukla Praha arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mlada Boleslav expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dukla Praha in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dukla Praha having the stronger overall control.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Mlada Boleslav have collected 35 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 44:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sevcik (9 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 20:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (6 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Mlada Boleslav won 4 times, Dukla Praha won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Mlada Boleslav's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1 / Dukla Praha 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mlada Boleslav wins 4, draws 5, Dukla Praha wins 3
Stats
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 2
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 7
9 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 11
14 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
620 Total passes 290
545 Passes accurate 221
0.91 expected_goals 2.10
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mlada Boleslav
Formation
Dukla Praha
V. Vorel
V. Vorel
D. Kostka
D. Kostka
F. Matousek
F. Matousek
M. Kralik
M. Kralik
M. Hybs
M. Hybs
J. Zika
J. Zika
O. Karafiat
O. Karafiat
M. Sevcik
🎯
M. Sevcik
D. Langhamer
D. Langhamer
S. John
S. John
C. Kabongo
C. Kabongo
H. Backovsky
H. Backovsky
D. Kozma
D. Kozma
E. Hunal
E. Hunal
M. Traore
M. Traore
M. Pourzitidis
🎯
M. Pourzitidis
D. Velasquez
D. Velasquez
S. Tijani
S. Tijani
D. Kreiker
D. Kreiker
D. Gilbert
D. Gilbert
M. Cermak
M. Cermak
K. Milla
K. Milla
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
V. Vorel
G
31
D. Kostka
↓ 46'
D
32
F. Matousek
D
3
M. Kralik
D
11
M. Hybs
D
76
J. Zika
↓ 46'
44
O. Karafiat
⚽ 62'
M
22
M. Sevcik
🎯 62'
M
28
D. Langhamer
↓ 82'
M
20
S. John
↓ 46'
M
25
C. Kabongo
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
83
S. Jovanoski
G
13
D. Donat
D
10
F. Lehky
↑ 82'
F
24
D. Mares
D
49
J. Kolarik
↑ 46'
M
23
J. Klima
↑ 46'
F
15
N. Penner
M
19
D. Kozel
↑ 46'
M
21
M. Subert
↑ 46'
37
M. Krulich
F
5
J. Harustak
D
Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
59
H. Backovsky
G
39
D. Kozma
D
4
E. Hunal
D
22
M. Traore
37
M. Pourzitidis
🎯 55'
D
5
D. Velasquez
↓ 80' 🟨 73'
M
14
S. Tijani
↓ 90+1' 🟨 46'
M
47
D. Kreiker
↓ 63'
M
15
D. Gilbert
⚽ 55' ↓ 80'
M
19
M. Cermak
M
11
K. Milla
⚽ 4' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Jagrik
17
T. Pekhart
↑ 90+1'
F
3
Z. Sehovic
D
28
B. Unusic
↑ 80'
8
P. Gaszczyk
↑ 90+1'
M
20
M. Zitny
M
21
S. Hindi
F
25
M. Hanousek
↑ 80'
M
23
J. Svozil
D
10
R. Mikus
↑ 63'
M
18
D. Hasek
D
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
09.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
Last matches: Dukla Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha II
4
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
3
2
W
23.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
L
16.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
0
D
27.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
22.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
H2H: Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha
26.06.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
12.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
12.04.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
08.11.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
3
L
06.04.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
0
1
L
14.01.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
5
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
W
01.07.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
4
4
D
25.01.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
2
D
21.04.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
09.11.18
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
4
3
W
06.12.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
02.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
1
4
L
25.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
2
4
L
04.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
0
0
D
21.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
30.08.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
19.08.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Plzen
0
5
L
H2H at home: Mlada Boleslav
26.06.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
12.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
12.04.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
3
L
06.04.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
0
1
L
14.01.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
5
2
W
01.07.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
4
4
D
25.01.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
2
D
09.11.18
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
Last matches: Dukla Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
3
2
W
16.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
0
D
22.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
08.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Hradec Králové
0
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
FC Liefering
1
1
D
14.12.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Plzen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
3
L
01.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
1
1
D
19.10.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
0
0
D
26.09.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
13.09.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
1
D
H2H away: Dukla Praha
26.06.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
L
12.05.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
W
12.04.26
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
3
W
06.04.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
0
1
W
14.01.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
5
2
L
01.07.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
4
4
D
25.01.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
2
D
09.11.18
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
0
0
D

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation