SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
11.07.2026 13:00
Strandvallen
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Mjallby AIF
Match Timeline
AIK Stockholm
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Teo Helge
Mjallby AIF
🟨
33'
Jeppe Kjaer
Mjallby AIF
🟨
60'
Tom Pettersson
Mjallby AIF
🔄
61'
T. Helge ↔ R. Arrhenius
Mjallby AIF
🔄
61'
T. Pettersson ↔ A. Iqbal
Mjallby AIF
🔄
67'
K. Filling ↔ V. Andersson
AIK Stockholm
🔄
69'
J. Kjaer ↔ M. Nielsen
Mjallby AIF
🔄
72'
S. Papagiannopoulos ↔ F. Nissen
AIK Stockholm
🔄
72'
A. Mujanic ↔ A. Ali
AIK Stockholm
74'
V. Andersson · Assist: A. Kouame
AIK Stockholm
🔄
80'
A. Manneh ↔ A. Youssef
Mjallby AIF
🔄
81'
T. Miettinen ↔ L. Svanberg
Mjallby AIF
🔄
82'
A. Kouame ↔ A. Helm
AIK Stockholm
🔄
83'
D. Besirovic ↔ A. Faqa
AIK Stockholm
🟨
88'
Abdullah Iqbal
Mjallby AIF
90'
A. Helm · Assist: V. Andersson
AIK Stockholm
90'
A. Youssef
Mjallby AIF

Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.3%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mjallby AIF Win 47.8%
Draw 19.7%
AIK Stockholm Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mjallby AIF1.84
AIK Stockholm1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
WWDLW
33 GF / 30 GA
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WLDWL
30 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
5.36
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 18 matches
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 20 matches
Mjallby AIF Statistic AIK Stockholm
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
5 Losses 8
33 Goals For 30
30 Goals Against 37
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
9 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 3
5.36 Shots On Goal 5
12.82 Total Shots 13.82
4.64 Corners 6.73
54.1% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Mjallby AIF's more proactive style and AIK Stockholm's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mjallby AIF expected to line up in 3-4-3 and AIK Stockholm in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AIK Stockholm having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AIK Stockholm.

Mjallby AIF Analysis

Mjallby AIF arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 16 points after 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Á. Samuelsen (2 goals), with creative support from A. Manneh (1 assists), M. Nielsen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

AIK Stockholm sit 10 with 12 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 12:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Mjallby AIF won 3 times, AIK Stockholm won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Mjallby AIF's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Mjallby AIF 3-4-3 / AIK Stockholm 4-4-2
Missing players: Mjallby AIF 1, AIK Stockholm 5
H2H summary: Mjallby AIF wins 3, draws 4, AIK Stockholm wins 7

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
3 20 11 4 5 45:19 26 37
D L W W W
4 20 8 8 4 33:29 4 32
D L W W L
5 19 9 5 5 28:27 1 32
D W W W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:21 7 31
L W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 33:30 3 30
D W L W L
8 20 8 5 7 28:34 -6 29
L W D L W
9 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
10 20 7 6 7 29:32 -3 27
W L W W D
11 20 7 5 8 28:40 -12 26
W W D L W
12 19 5 5 9 25:33 -8 20
L L L W L
13 20 5 4 11 21:30 -9 19
L L D L L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 20 3 6 11 23:43 -20 15
D L D L L
16 20 2 5 13 13:37 -24 11
L W D L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation