BRAZIL SERIE D
16.05.2026 21:00
Mixto
Match Timeline
Goiatuba EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
Gustavo Xuxa
Mixto
42'
Robson Lopes
Mixto

Mixto vs Goiatuba EC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mixto Win 29.7%
Draw 18%
Goiatuba EC Win 52.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mixto0.6
Goiatuba EC1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mixto Mixto
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WLDWL
10 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mixto Mixto 6 matches
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 6 matches
Mixto Statistic Goiatuba EC
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
4 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 3
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Goiatuba EC's more proactive style and Mixto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Goiatuba EC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goiatuba EC having the stronger overall control. Goiatuba EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 14 points while Mixto sit 4 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Goiatuba EC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Mixto Analysis

Placed 4 with 6 points from 6 outings, Mixto continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 4:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Justino (2 goals), Di Maria (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 14 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:3 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Gabriel Silva (3 goals), Thalles (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mixto won 1 times, Goiatuba EC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Mixto's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
H2H summary: Mixto wins 1, draws 0, Goiatuba EC wins 1

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4
Mixto Home
10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)