Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
51.5%
|
- |
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mito Hollyhock
11 matches
Kashiwa Reysol
11 matches
| Mito Hollyhock | Statistic | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 12 | Goals For | 16 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 11.8 | Total Shots | 14.3 |
| 3.4 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 58.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Kashiwa Reysol's more proactive style and Mito Hollyhock's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Kashiwa Reysol in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashiwa Reysol having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kashiwa Reysol.
Mito Hollyhock are currently 7 in the standings with 12 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 13:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Kato (3 goals), A. Watanabe (2 goals), Y. Torikai (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (2 assists), C. Kato (1 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Kashiwa Reysol have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Segawa (4 goals), H. Nakama (1 goals), H. Yamauchi (1 goals), with creative support from H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), Y. Koizumi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 2 times, Kashiwa Reysol won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Mito Hollyhock
3
3
3
1
3
3
Lineups
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 20 | 45 |
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| 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
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|
|
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 37 |
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|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
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|
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| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
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|
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| 6 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
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| 7 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
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|
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| 8 |
Kashiwa Reysol
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
?
|
| 9 |
Mito Hollyhock
Home
|
18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
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|
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 12 |
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