19.09.2026 16:00
Parque Palermo

Miramar vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.86
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.9%
1.50
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.86
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.28
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Miramar Win 28.1%
Draw 33.1%
Uruguay Montevideo Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Miramar1.08
Uruguay Montevideo1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Miramar Miramar
WWDLW
23 GF / 31 GA
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
WLDWL
25 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
13
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Miramar Miramar 24 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 24 matches
Miramar Statistic Uruguay Montevideo
5 Wins 6
9 Draws 8
10 Losses 10
23 Goals For 25
31 Goals Against 30
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
13 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Uruguay Montevideo's more proactive style and Miramar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Uruguay Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 9 points while Miramar sit 10 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uruguay Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Uruguay Montevideo.

Miramar Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Miramar have collected 5 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 3:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

Uruguay Montevideo are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 7:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Miramar won 2 times, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Miramar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (71.9%)
H2H summary: Miramar wins 2, draws 2, Uruguay Montevideo wins 1

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D