URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Palermo
Miramar
Live Timeline
Atenas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Miramar
Miramar
53'
Atenas
Atenas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds 2.10
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.7%
1.28
BTTS Yes
62.3%
1.84
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.7%
2.10
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Miramar Win 29%
Draw 21.3%
Atenas Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Miramar1.2
Atenas1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Miramar Miramar
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Atenas Atenas
WLDWL
21 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
8
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Miramar Miramar 14 matches
Atenas Atenas 14 matches
Miramar Statistic Atenas
4 Wins 7
5 Draws 1
5 Losses 6
16 Goals For 21
17 Goals Against 18
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
8 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atenas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atenas having the stronger overall control. Atenas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 18 points while Miramar sit 7 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atenas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Miramar Analysis

Miramar are currently 7 in the standings with 12 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:10 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atenas Analysis

Atenas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 8 matches. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 16:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Miramar won 3 times, Atenas won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Miramar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
H2H summary: Miramar wins 3, draws 7, Atenas wins 2
Last matches: Miramar
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Boston River
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Club Nacional
1
3
L
11.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Penarol
2
2
D
03.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Atletico Torque
0
3
L
Last matches: Atenas
27.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
14.06.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
4
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Atenas
CA River Plate
2
0
W
23.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Paysandu
3
2
W
17.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
08.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
27.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
1
4
L
18.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
21.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
3
L
15.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
H2H: Miramar vs Atenas
21.11.23
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
0
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
0
0
D
05.08.22
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
0
1
W
15.05.22
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
2
L
11.11.17
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
24.06.17
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
1
1
D
25.09.16
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
1
1
D
30.04.16
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
1
1
D
20.04.13
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
0
2
W
09.11.12
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
2
1
W
07.04.12
H2H
Atenas
Miramar
2
2
D
05.11.11
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
Last matches: Miramar
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
27.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Boston River
0
4
L
11.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Penarol
2
2
D
29.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Wanderers
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
H2H at home: Miramar
21.11.23
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
0
1
L
15.05.22
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
2
L
11.11.17
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
09.11.12
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
2
1
W
05.11.11
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
Last matches: Atenas
20.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
07.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Atenas
CA River Plate
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
04.04.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
1
2
L
21.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
3
L
15.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
H2H away: Atenas
21.11.23
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
0
1
W
15.05.22
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
2
W
11.11.17
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
09.11.12
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
2
1
L
05.11.11
H2H
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.63
Draw 3.61
Home 2.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.44
Over 2.0 1.59
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 2.75 2.43
Over 3.0 3.10
Over 3.25 2.94
Under 1.5 2.86
Under 1.75 2.53
Under 2.0 2.21
Under 2.25 1.86
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.47
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.10
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.05
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.15
Under 2.5 1.67
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.74
Draw 3.44
Home 2.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.48
Draw 2.14
Home 2.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.31
Draw 2.30
Home 2.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.84
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 2.75 2.38
Over 3.0 3.05
Over 3.25 3.42
Over 3.5 3.82
Over 3.75 4.71
Over 4.0 6.70
Over 4.25 6.03
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 0.5 8.15
Under 0.75 6.05
Under 1.0 7.30
Under 1.25 3.85
Under 1.5 2.83
Under 1.75 2.49
Under 2.0 2.15
Under 2.25 1.84
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.0 1.28
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.15
Home 2.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.08
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.38
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.06
Over 3.5 3.65
Over 4.5 6.75
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 2.5 1.63
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 4.5 1.06

Standings

Segunda Division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 0 2 16:7 9 18
W W W L W
2 9 4 3 2 14:13 1 15
D W L L W
3 9 4 2 3 14:14 0 14
W D L W L
4 9 4 2 3 8:8 0 14
D L W L W
5 9 3 4 2 14:11 3 13
W L D D W
6 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
W L L W D
7 8 3 3 2 13:10 3 12
W L W D W
8 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D W D W
9 9 3 3 3 8:10 -2 12
L L W W D
10 9 2 5 2 14:12 2 11
L D D W D
11 9 3 2 4 8:12 -4 11
L W W L L
12 9 2 4 3 6:8 -2 10
L D W L L
13 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
W L L L W
14 9 2 1 6 9:14 -5 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)