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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
11.10.2026 15:00
Stadium FC Minsk
Minsk II
Match Timeline
Smorgon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
I. Bondarenko
Minsk II
🟨
37'
R. Gribovskiy
Smorgon
🟨
59'
B. Fartuna
Smorgon
🟨
60'
V. Ganchuk
Minsk II
⚽
67'
V. Galko · Assist: J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🟨
69'
V. Dikhtievskiy
Minsk II
⚽
81'
E. Mychelkin · Assist: J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🟨
85'
N. Bulyga
Minsk II
🟨
90+1'
D. Denisenko
Minsk II

Minsk II vs Smorgon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Minsk II Win 31%
Draw 28.1%
Smorgon Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minsk II1.36
Smorgon1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minsk II Minsk II
WWDLW
37 GF / 50 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
39 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
16
BTTS Yes
12
19
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minsk II Minsk II 27 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 31 matches
Minsk II Statistic Smorgon
9 Wins 11
3 Draws 7
15 Losses 13
37 Goals For 39
50 Goals Against 42
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
16 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Minsk II have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Smorgon. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Minsk II Analysis

With 30 points from 27 games and a place of 13, Minsk II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats with a 37:50 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Smorgon Analysis

So far, Smorgon have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 33 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 33:36 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Minsk II won 1 times, Smorgon won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Minsk II's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.9%)
H2H summary: Minsk II wins 1, draws 0, Smorgon wins 4

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 57:28 29 60
W W W W W
2 28 18 4 6 72:33 39 58
W D W L W
3 28 18 3 7 52:43 9 57
W W W L W
4 28 17 5 6 61:32 29 56
W W W W L
5 28 15 5 8 51:33 18 50
W D W W D
6 27 14 3 10 46:45 1 45
L L W D W
7 28 12 7 9 55:45 10 43
W D W W W
8 28 12 5 11 53:44 9 41
L W D W L
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 28 8 11 9 38:41 -3 35
L D D L W
11 28 10 5 13 41:51 -10 35
D L L L L
12 27 9 6 12 33:36 -3 33
W L W W D
13 27 9 3 15 37:50 -13 30
L L D L L
14 28 7 6 15 28:52 -24 27
L D L L D
15 27 6 8 13 25:36 -11 26
L D L L D
16 27 5 7 15 36:61 -25 22
D L L W L
17 28 5 6 17 38:60 -22 21
L L L L L
18 28 5 5 18 30:68 -38 20
D L D D L