🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Field
Referee: L. Hernandez
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
R. Veselinovic ↔ M. Gherasimencov
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
17'
M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC
🟨
24'
J. Badwal
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
O. Larraz ↔ R. Gauld
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
C. Sabaly ↔ N. Djordjevic
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
57'
J. Diaz ↔ C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC
🔄
68'
W. Trapp ↔ P. Stroud
Minnesota United FC
🔄
68'
K. Yeboah ↔ T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
69'
B. White ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
81'
A. Markanich ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
81'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🟨
87'
M. Boxall
Minnesota United FC
🔄
90'
T. Johnson ↔ S. Adekugbe
Vancouver Whitecaps

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 29.4%
Draw 5.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 65.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.19
Vancouver Whitecaps1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
42 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
10
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
12
4.69
Shots on Goal
6.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 19 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
7 Wins 12
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 42
26 Goals Against 27
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
4.69 Shots On Goal 6.37
13.44 Total Shots 17.26
5.31 Corners 5.95
47.9% Ball Possession 57.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver Whitecaps. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 32 points while Minnesota United FC sit 8 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 8 with 22 points after 15 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (3 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Placed 1 with 32 points from 14 outings, Vancouver Whitecaps continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 34:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), Thomas Müller (2 goals), with creative support from Brian White (2 assists), Sebastian Berhalter (2 assists), Thomas Müller (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 4 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:23 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-3 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 4, draws 5, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 6
Stats
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
342 Total passes 614
253 Passes accurate 539
1.10 expected_goals 0.41
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
Formation
Vancouver Whitecaps
Drake Callender
Drake Callender
Kyle Duncan
Kyle Duncan
Jefferson Díaz
Jefferson Díaz
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall
Morris Duggan
Morris Duggan
Anthony Markanich
Anthony Markanich
Joaquín Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra
Owen Gene
Owen Gene
Wil Trapp
Wil Trapp
Kelvin Yeboah
Kelvin Yeboah
Mamadou  Dieng
Mamadou Dieng
Yohei Takaoka
Yohei Takaoka
Mathías Laborda
Mathías Laborda
Ranko Veselinović
Ranko Veselinović
Tristan Blackmon
Tristan Blackmon
Tate Johnson
Tate Johnson
Oliver Larraz
Oliver Larraz
Andrés Cubas
Andrés Cubas
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
Thomas Müller
Thomas Müller
Jeevan Badwal
Jeevan Badwal
Brian White
Brian White
Minnesota United FC 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
Drake Callender
G
3
Kyle Duncan
↓ 81'
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
↓ 57'
D
15
Michael Boxall
🟨 87'
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
13
Anthony Markanich
↓ 81'
D
26
Joaquín Pereyra
M
30
Owen Gene
M
20
Wil Trapp
↓ 68'
M
9
Kelvin Yeboah
↓ 68'
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
🟨 17'
F
Substitutes
67
Carlos Harvey
↑ 57'
M
6
Peter Stroud
↑ 68'
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
↑ 68'
F
2
Devin Padelford
↑ 81'
D
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
↑ 81'
F
1
Alec Smir
G
24
Julian Gressel
M
18
Mauricio González
F
22
Marcus Caldeira
F
Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Yohei Takaoka
G
2
Mathías Laborda
D
4
Ranko Veselinović
↓ 11'
D
33
Tristan Blackmon
D
28
Tate Johnson
↓ 90'
D
8
Oliver Larraz
↓ 46'
M
20
Andrés Cubas
M
7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
↓ 46'
M
13
Thomas Müller
M
59
Jeevan Badwal
🟨 24'
M
24
Brian White
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
29
Mihail Gherasimencov
↑ 11'
D
41
Nikola Djordjevic
↑ 46'
D
25
Ryan Gauld
↑ 46'
M
19
Rayan Elloumi
↑ 69'
F
3
Sam Adekugbe
↑ 90'
D
32
Isaac Boehmer
G
30
Adrian Zendejas
G
26
Jean-Claude Ngando
M
63
Johnny Selemani
F
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
02.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
Last matches: Vancouver Whitecaps
01.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
22.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
24.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
4
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
22.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
19.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
15.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
6
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
0
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
3
0
W
26.02.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
CS Cartagines
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
1
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
CS Cartagines
0
0
D
H2H: Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
26.07.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
15.03.26
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
6
0
L
29.05.25
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
05.10.24
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
0
1
W
04.07.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
07.05.23
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
3
2
L
26.03.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
18.02.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
0
W
09.07.22
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
1
3
W
28.10.21
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
2
1
L
01.08.21
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
13.05.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
28.07.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
02.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
1
1
D
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
H2H at home: Minnesota United FC
26.07.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
04.07.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
26.03.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
18.02.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
0
W
13.05.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
28.07.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
Last matches: Vancouver Whitecaps
22.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
24.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
4
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
19.02.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
CS Cartagines
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Vancouver Whitecaps
Polessya
0
2
L
H2H away: Vancouver Whitecaps
26.07.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
W
04.07.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
W
26.03.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
18.02.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
W
09.10.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
0
L
13.05.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
L
28.07.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 4 3 38:17 21 34
D D L W L
2 19 10 4 5 35:19 16 34
D W W W W
3 18 10 3 5 37:24 13 33
L D L W L
4 17 9 2 6 25:24 1 29
W W D D W
5 17 8 3 6 29:25 4 27
D L L D W
6 18 7 6 5 32:25 7 27
D L D W W
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
D W W W W
8 18 7 3 8 33:33 0 24
W W D W L
9 17 7 3 7 20:22 -2 24
L L L L L
10 18 6 6 6 20:25 -5 24
D D L D L
11 18 7 1 10 27:25 2 22
W L W L L
12 19 5 7 7 24:29 -5 22
D D L L D
13 18 5 6 7 32:29 3 21
D W L L D
14 18 4 5 9 22:36 -14 17
L L W L L
15 18 4 2 12 18:46 -28 14
L L W L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)