🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.09.2026 00:30
Allianz Field
Referee: R. Fierro
Minnesota United FC
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Osaze Urhoghide
FC Dallas
62'
Kaick · Assist: J. Valiente
FC Dallas
🔄
63'
M. Caldeira ↔ T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
64'
J. Diaz ↔ C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC
🟨
69'
Nectarios Triantis
Minnesota United FC
73'
K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
N. Triantis ↔ O. Gene
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Malone
Minnesota United FC
🔄
77'
R. Binyamin ↔ H. Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
77'
C. Cappis ↔ S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🟨
83'
Ramiro
FC Dallas
🔄
84'
W. Trapp ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
84'
L. Farrington ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
84'
S. Moreno · Assist: S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🟨
89'
Owen Gene
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds 3.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.8%
3.82
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.53
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.28
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Minnesota United FC Win 31%
Draw 6.2%
FC Dallas Win 62.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Minnesota United FC1.5
FC Dallas1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WWDLW
38 GF / 39 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
53 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.96
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
16
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
19
5.09
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 26 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 matches
Minnesota United FC Statistic FC Dallas
8 Wins 12
9 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
38 Goals For 53
39 Goals Against 42
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
16 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
5.09 Shots On Goal 4.65
13.74 Total Shots 12.04
5.57 Corners 4.17
46.3% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features FC Dallas's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and FC Dallas in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Dallas. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 9 with 29 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 30:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kelvin Yeboah (7 goals), Anthony Markanich (5 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (5 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 34 points after 22 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 41:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Petar Musa (9 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), Santiago Moreno (2 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Valiente (4 assists), Petar Musa (2 assists), Santiago Moreno (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 6 times, FC Dallas won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2 / FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Minnesota United FC 2, FC Dallas 4
H2H summary: Minnesota United FC wins 6, draws 6, FC Dallas wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 26 8 7 11 44:44 0 31
D L L L W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)