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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
22.09.2025 19:00
Millwall
FT
1 - 0
Watford
The Den
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Millwall
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
C. Neghli
Millwall
🟨
30'
Joe Bryan
Millwall
🔄
46'
E. Selvik ↔ N. Baxter
Watford
🔄
62'
N. Mendy ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
🔄
67'
A. Emakhu ↔ W. Smallbone
Millwall
🔄
72'
V. Semedo ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🔄
72'
M. Bola ↔ C. Wiley
Watford
🔄
72'
F. Mendy ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
78'
T. Ballo ↔ C. Taylor
Millwall
🔄
79'
J. Bryan ↔ Z. Sturge
Millwall
🔄
79'
C. Neghli ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
🔄
88'
H. Kyprianou ↔ R. Vata
Watford
🔄
90+2'
R. Leonard ↔ W. Harding
Millwall

Millwall vs Watford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall0.96
Watford1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
4 GF / 7 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
3
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 5 matches
Watford Watford 5 matches
Millwall Statistic Watford
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
4 Goals For 5
7 Goals Against 6
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 2.8
15.8 Total Shots 12
5.2 Corners 3
49.6% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 7 times, Watford won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Millwall's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Watford 3-5-2
H2H summary: Millwall wins 7, draws 3, Watford wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Home
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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