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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Millwall
FT
1 - 0
Watford
The Den
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Millwall
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
C. Neghli
Millwall
🟨
30'
Joe Bryan
Millwall
🔄
46'
E. Selvik ↔ N. Baxter
Watford
🔄
62'
N. Mendy ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
🔄
67'
A. Emakhu ↔ W. Smallbone
Millwall
🔄
72'
V. Semedo ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🔄
72'
M. Bola ↔ C. Wiley
Watford
🔄
72'
F. Mendy ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
78'
T. Ballo ↔ C. Taylor
Millwall
🔄
79'
J. Bryan ↔ Z. Sturge
Millwall
🔄
79'
C. Neghli ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
🔄
88'
H. Kyprianou ↔ R. Vata
Watford
🔄
90+2'
R. Leonard ↔ W. Harding
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall0.96
Watford1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
4 GF / 7 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
3
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 5 matches
Watford Watford 5 matches
Millwall Statistic Watford
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
4 Goals For 5
7 Goals Against 6
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 2.8
15.8 Total Shots 12
5.2 Corners 3
49.6% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 7 times, Watford won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Millwall's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Watford 3-5-2
H2H summary: Millwall wins 7, draws 3, Watford wins 4
Stats
Millwall Millwall
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
353 Total passes 572
263 Passes accurate 482
0.70 expected_goals 0.76
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Millwall
Formation
Watford
S. Benda
S. Benda
R. Leonard
↓
R. Leonard
T. Crama
T. Crama
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
J. Bryan
↓
J. Bryan
D. Mazou-Sacko
D. Mazou-Sacko
M. Luongo
M. Luongo
C. Neghli
⚽ ↓
C. Neghli
T. Ballo
↓
T. Ballo
A. Emakhu
↓
A. Emakhu
J. Coburn
J. Coburn
E. Selvik
↓
E. Selvik
M. Alleyne
M. Alleyne
K. Keben
K. Keben
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
F. Mendy
↓
F. Mendy
N. Mendy
↓
N. Mendy
I. Louza
I. Louza
H. Kyprianou
↓
H. Kyprianou
M. Bola
↓
M. Bola
V. Semedo
↓
V. Semedo
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
S. Benda
G
18
R. Leonard
↓ 90+2'
D
4
T. Crama
D
5
J. Cooper
D
23
J. Bryan
↓ 79' 🟨 30'
D
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
M
21
M. Luongo
M
10
C. Neghli
⚽ 10' ↓ 79'
M
7
T. Ballo
↓ 78'
M
22
A. Emakhu
↓ 67'
M
19
J. Coburn
F
Substitutes
15
M. Crocombe
G
3
Z. Sturge
↑ 79'
D
6
C. Taylor
↑ 78'
D
17
M. Langstaff
↑ 79'
F
27
K. Grant
D
31
R. Bangura-Williams
F
39
W. Smallbone
↑ 67'
M
45
W. Harding
↑ 90+2'
D
47
J. Howland
M
Watford 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
↓ 46'
G
3
M. Alleyne
D
4
K. Keben
D
6
M. Pollock
D
27
F. Mendy
↓ 72'
M
23
N. Mendy
↓ 62'
M
10
I. Louza
M
5
H. Kyprianou
↓ 88'
M
16
M. Bola
↓ 72'
M
18
V. Semedo
↓ 72'
F
66
N. Irankunda
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
↑ 46'
G
7
T. Ince
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↑ 72'
F
11
R. Vata
↑ 88'
F
17
M. Sissoko
M
25
J. Abankwah
D
26
C. Wiley
↑ 72'
D
34
K. Baah
↑ 72'
F
39
E. Kayembe
↑ 62'
M
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
Last matches: Watford
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
H2H: Millwall vs Watford
17.01.26
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
W
22.09.25
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
W
08.03.25
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Watford
Millwall
2
2
D
26.12.22
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
W
19.10.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
3
0
W
19.07.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
24.04.21
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
0
L
26.01.21
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
29.01.17
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
W
11.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
2
L
01.11.14
H2H
Watford
Millwall
3
1
L
12.04.14
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
2
D
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
24.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Charlton
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Swansea
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
1
3
L
29.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
3
2
W
26.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Millwall
Preston
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
2
0
W
H2H at home: Millwall
22.09.25
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
W
10.08.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
W
19.10.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
3
0
W
19.07.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
26.01.21
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
29.01.17
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
W
11.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
2
L
12.04.14
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
2
D
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
H2H away: Watford
22.09.25
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
L
10.08.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
3
W
02.03.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
L
19.10.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
3
0
L
19.07.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
26.01.21
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
29.01.17
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
L
11.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
2
W
12.04.14
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
2
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Home
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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