Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
85.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71%
|
- |
Millwall
QPR
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Millwall
43 matches
QPR
43 matches
| Millwall | Statistic | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 16 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 17 |
| 57 | Goals For | 59 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.51 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.16 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 12.56 | Total Shots | 12.58 |
| 5.42 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Millwall's more proactive style and QPR's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Millwall arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 73 points compared to QPR in 11 on 58, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring QPR. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Millwall expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and QPR in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward QPR having the stronger overall control.
Millwall arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 73 points after 42 matches. The record of 21 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 56:47 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Ivanovic (9 goals), F. Azeez (8 goals), Josh Coburn (8 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), A. Doughty (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
QPR sit 11 with 58 points after 42 league matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 58:63 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Burrell (10 goals), R. Kone (9 goals), P. Smyth (6 goals), with creative support from N. Madsen (6 assists), B. Whiteman (5 assists), H. Vale (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with I. Chair, K. Dembele, Z. Larkeche unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 6 times, QPR won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Millwall's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Millwall
4
1
5
4
2
0
Lineups
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Wrexham
QPR
Wycombe
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
QPR
First Vienna
QPR
Ipswich
QPR
Derby
QPR
Swansea
QPR
Bristol City
QPR
Preston
QPR
Watford
QPR
Portsmouth
QPR
Leicester
QPR
Birmingham
QPR
Middlesbrough
QPR
Sheffield Utd
QPR
Southampton
QPR
Hull City
QPR
Blackburn
QPR
Charlton
QPR
Coventry
QPR
Wrexham
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Charlton
Millwall
Swansea
Millwall
Bristol City
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Southampton
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Coventry
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
QPR
First Vienna
QPR
Ipswich
QPR
Preston
QPR
Leicester
QPR
Birmingham
QPR
Southampton
QPR
Hull City
QPR
Charlton
QPR
Oxford United
QPR
Stoke City
QPR
West Ham
QPR
West Brom
QPR
Portsmouth
QPR
Middlesbrough
QPR
Norwich
QPR
Blackburn
QPR
Sheffield Utd
QPR
Derby
QPR
Swansea
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Millwall
Home
|
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
QPR
Away
|
46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|