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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 14:00
The Den
Referee: Will Finnie, England
Millwall
Match Timeline
Bolton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
C. Taylor · Assist: J. Metcalfe
Millwall
🔄
46'
J. McAtee ↔ R. Rodrigues
Bolton
🔄
55'
D. Mazou-Sacko ↔ D. Kelly
Millwall
🔄
60'
S. Dalby ↔ T. Bair
Bolton
🔄
60'
S. Iling Junior ↔ K. Dong
Bolton
🔄
65'
R. Esse ↔ Z. Lovelace
Millwall
🔄
65'
T. Arconte ↔ Y. Issoufou
Millwall
🟨
75'
Akin Famewo
Bolton
🔄
75'
A. Famewo ↔ M. Conway
Bolton
🔄
76'
X. Simons ↔ R. Hardie
Bolton
🔄
81'
J. Osei-Tutu ↔ E. Baggott
Millwall
⚽
83'
L. Dykes · Assist: Z. Lovelace
Millwall
🟥
86'
Jenson Metcalfe
Millwall
🟥
86'
Josh Sheehan
Bolton
⚽
88'
L. Dykes · Assist: Z. Sturge
Millwall
⚽
90'
C. Neghli
Millwall

Millwall vs Bolton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 61.4%
Draw 4%
Bolton Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.06
Bolton1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Bolton Bolton
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 10 matches
Bolton Bolton 9 matches
Millwall Statistic Bolton
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
11 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 9
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.5
15.5 Total Shots 14
6.5 Corners 6.5
51% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 2 times, Bolton won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Millwall's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Millwall 8, Bolton 1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 2, draws 4, Bolton wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One