ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 14:00
The Den
Referee: Will Finnie, England
Millwall
Match Timeline
Bolton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
C. Taylor · Assist: J. Metcalfe
Millwall
🔄
46'
J. McAtee ↔ R. Rodrigues
Bolton
🔄
55'
D. Mazou-Sacko ↔ D. Kelly
Millwall
🔄
60'
S. Dalby ↔ T. Bair
Bolton
🔄
60'
S. Iling Junior ↔ K. Dong
Bolton
🔄
65'
R. Esse ↔ Z. Lovelace
Millwall
🔄
65'
T. Arconte ↔ Y. Issoufou
Millwall
🟨
75'
Akin Famewo
Bolton
🔄
75'
A. Famewo ↔ M. Conway
Bolton
🔄
76'
X. Simons ↔ R. Hardie
Bolton
🔄
81'
J. Osei-Tutu ↔ E. Baggott
Millwall
83'
L. Dykes · Assist: Z. Lovelace
Millwall
🟥
86'
Jenson Metcalfe
Millwall
🟥
86'
Josh Sheehan
Bolton
88'
L. Dykes · Assist: Z. Sturge
Millwall
90'
C. Neghli
Millwall

Millwall vs Bolton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.99
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
1.98
BTTS No
60.3%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.99
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Millwall Win 61.4%
Draw 4%
Bolton Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall1.06
Bolton1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Millwall Millwall
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Bolton Bolton
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Millwall Millwall 10 matches
Bolton Bolton 9 matches
Millwall Statistic Bolton
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
11 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 9
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.5
15.5 Total Shots 14
6.5 Corners 6.5
51% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 2 times, Bolton won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Millwall's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Millwall 8, Bolton 1
H2H summary: Millwall wins 2, draws 4, Bolton wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One