ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
29.08.2026 19:30
Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
Match Timeline
Nueva Chicago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
E. Mendez
Nueva Chicago
🟨
32'
M. Rogoski
Nueva Chicago
🟨
35'
F. Marin
Midland
🟨
35'
R. E. Zalazar
Nueva Chicago
🟨
38'
A. Gonzalez
Nueva Chicago
45'
R. Luna · Assist: M. Roseti
Midland
🔄
46'
M. Rogoski ↔ D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
58'
M. Roseti · Assist: R. Luna
Midland
🔄
60'
R. Luna ↔ M. Frattini
Midland
🔄
60'
F. Marin ↔ J. Perales
Midland
🟨
61'
D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
🟨
68'
T. Ocampo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
74'
B. Palazzo ↔ E. Cardozo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
74'
E. Mendez ↔ E. Roldan
Nueva Chicago
🔄
74'
D. Arroyo ↔ M. Bergara
Nueva Chicago
🔄
79'
D. Bulacio ↔ V. Madalon
Midland
🔄
84'
A. Gonzalez ↔ A. Ruiz
Nueva Chicago
🔄
86'
L. Diaz Laharque ↔ J. Canalda
Midland
🔄
86'
M. Roseti ↔ R. Cao
Midland

Midland vs Nueva Chicago Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.6%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.6%
1.72
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.76
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.46
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Midland Win 87.6%
Draw 6.2%
Nueva Chicago Win 6.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Midland1.07
Nueva Chicago0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Midland Midland
WWDLW
32 GF / 23 GA
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WLDWL
20 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Midland Midland 28 matches
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 26 matches
Midland Statistic Nueva Chicago
11 Wins 7
10 Draws 8
7 Losses 11
32 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 25
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
14 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Midland's more proactive style and Nueva Chicago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Midland arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 38 points compared to Nueva Chicago in 14 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nueva Chicago having the stronger overall control. Nueva Chicago arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nueva Chicago. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Midland Analysis

Midland approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 38 points after 24 outings. With 10 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

Nueva Chicago sit 14 with 29 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 20:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Midland won 0 times, Nueva Chicago won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Midland's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Midland 4-4-2 / Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Midland wins 0, draws 1, Nueva Chicago wins 0

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation