ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
22.04.2026 18:45
Riverside Stadium
Referee: D. Webb
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Sheffield Wednesday
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
30'
Morgan Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
51'
Jarvis Thornton
Sheffield Wednesday
🟨
52'
Adilson Malanda
Middlesbrough
🔄
60'
M. Whittaker ↔ J. Sarmiento
Middlesbrough
🔄
62'
M. Nakamba ↔ N. Chalobah
Sheffield Wednesday
🔄
62'
C. McNeill ↔ J. Lowe
Sheffield Wednesday
🔄
68'
J. Thornton ↔ W. Grainger
Sheffield Wednesday
🟨
70'
Max Lowe
Sheffield Wednesday
🔄
78'
T. Conway ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
78'
D. Strelec ↔ S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
🔄
81'
M. Targett ↔ A. Bangura
Middlesbrough
🔄
83'
J. Yates ↔ O. Kobacki
Sheffield Wednesday

Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 65.2%
Draw 25.7%
Sheffield Wednesday Win 9.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.66
Sheffield Wednesday0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
65 GF / 47 GA
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
WLDWL
26 GF / 85 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
0.59
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
25
BTTS Yes
20
24
Over 2.5
22
4.89
Shots on Goal
2.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 44 matches
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 44 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Sheffield Wednesday
20 Wins 1
13 Draws 12
11 Losses 31
65 Goals For 26
47 Goals Against 85
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 0.59
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
25 BTTS Yes 20
31 Over 1.5 36
24 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 23
4.89 Shots On Goal 2.45
15.91 Total Shots 8.55
6.77 Corners 4.36
59.4% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Middlesbrough's more proactive style and Sheffield Wednesday's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Middlesbrough arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 73 points compared to Sheffield Wednesday in 24 on -3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sheffield Wednesday.

Middlesbrough Analysis

Placed 5 with 73 points from 43 outings, Middlesbrough continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 62:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Whittaker (11 goals), Tommy Conway (10 goals), D. Strelec (6 goals), with creative support from H. Hackney (7 assists), M. Whittaker (6 assists), Tommy Conway (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Jones, D. Lenihan, H. Hackney, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Sheffield Wednesday Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday sit 24 with -3 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 12 draws, and 30 losses, together with goals at 25:82, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through C. McNeill (4 goals), J. Lowe (4 goals), J. Yates (4 goals), with creative support from Barry Bannan (4 assists), J. Lowe (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Bernard, G. Brown, L. Cooper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 8 times, Sheffield Wednesday won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Sheffield Wednesday 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Middlesbrough 4, Sheffield Wednesday 7
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 8, draws 3, Sheffield Wednesday wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation