Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.5%
|
- |
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Middlesbrough
44 matches
Sheffield Wednesday
44 matches
| Middlesbrough | Statistic | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 1 |
| 13 | Draws | 12 |
| 11 | Losses | 31 |
| 65 | Goals For | 26 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 85 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.59 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.93 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 23 |
| 4.89 | Shots On Goal | 2.45 |
| 15.91 | Total Shots | 8.55 |
| 6.77 | Corners | 4.36 |
| 59.4% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Middlesbrough's more proactive style and Sheffield Wednesday's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Middlesbrough arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 73 points compared to Sheffield Wednesday in 24 on -3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sheffield Wednesday.
Placed 5 with 73 points from 43 outings, Middlesbrough continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 62:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Whittaker (11 goals), Tommy Conway (10 goals), D. Strelec (6 goals), with creative support from H. Hackney (7 assists), M. Whittaker (6 assists), Tommy Conway (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Jones, D. Lenihan, H. Hackney, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Sheffield Wednesday sit 24 with -3 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 12 draws, and 30 losses, together with goals at 25:82, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through C. McNeill (4 goals), J. Lowe (4 goals), J. Yates (4 goals), with creative support from Barry Bannan (4 assists), J. Lowe (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Bernard, G. Brown, L. Cooper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 8 times, Sheffield Wednesday won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Middlesbrough
4
1
8
5
6
2
Lineups
Middlesbrough
Celtic
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Watford
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Middlesbrough
QPR
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
Preston
Sheffield Wednesday
Hallam
Sheffield Wednesday
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry
Sheffield Wednesday
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Watford
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Middlesbrough
Preston
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
QPR
Middlesbrough
Derby
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hallam
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry
Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
Preston
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
Birmingham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
Home
|
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
Away
|
46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|