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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 14:00
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Norwich
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
M. Toure
Norwich
⚽
4'
S. Berhalter · Assist: T. Conway
Middlesbrough
⚽
7'
A. Cozier-Duberry · Assist: T. Conway
Middlesbrough
⚽
36'
S. Berhalter
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
A. Jones ↔ A. Phillips
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
A. Slimane ↔ J. Wright
Norwich
🟨
53'
Riley McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
62'
K. Fisher ↔ J. Stacey
Norwich
🔄
62'
M. Toure ↔ J. Makama
Norwich
🔄
63'
T. Conway ↔ M. Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough
🔄
63'
R. McGree ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
⚽
70'
J. Makama · Assist: J. Wright
Norwich
🔄
73'
A. Cozier-Duberry ↔ M. Arfsten
Middlesbrough
🔄
74'
A. Brooks ↔ P. Maghoma
Norwich
⚽
75'
J. Wright · Assist: P. Maghoma
Norwich
🟨
89'
Ashley Phillips
Middlesbrough
🟨
90'
Jack Stacey
Norwich
🔄
90+2'
W. Lankshear ↔ L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
90'
A. Musaba ↔ O. Schwartau
Norwich
⚽
90'
A. Phillips
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 53.6%
Draw 14.4%
Norwich Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.32
Norwich1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
7
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 matches
Norwich Norwich 13 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Norwich
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 18
12 Goals Against 11
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 5
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.83
17.2 Total Shots 16.17
5.2 Corners 4.83
59.8% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 6 times, Norwich won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Middlesbrough 1, Norwich 3
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 6, draws 3, Norwich wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 5 4 1 29:12 17 19
W D D W W
4 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
5 10 4 5 1 15:9 6 17
W D D D D
6 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
7 10 6 2 2 21:10 11 16
W W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
9 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
10 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
11 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
12 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
13 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 10 3 3 4 14:14 0 12
L W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L D D W
17 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
18 10 3 2 5 7:17 -10 11
L L L W W
19 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
20 10 3 0 7 17:20 -3 9
L L L L W
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 10 1 3 6 9:19 -10 6
L D D L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One