ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 14:00
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.6%
1.75
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 53.6%
Draw 14.4%
Norwich Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.32
Norwich1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
7
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 matches
Norwich Norwich 13 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Norwich
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 18
12 Goals Against 11
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 5
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.83
17.2 Total Shots 16.17
5.2 Corners 4.83
59.8% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 6 times, Norwich won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Middlesbrough 1, Norwich 4
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 6, draws 3, Norwich wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 14:9 5 11
W W W D L
2 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D W W D
3 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
4 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
6 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
7 5 3 1 1 6:7 -1 10
L D W W W
8 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
9 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
W L W D D
10 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
11 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W L L D D
12 6 3 2 1 14:7 7 7
W D D W W
13 6 1 4 1 7:5 2 7
D D W L D
14 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D W D D
15 6 2 1 3 9:10 -1 7
D W W L L
16 5 2 0 3 8:8 0 6
W L W L L
17 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
18 6 1 2 3 7:9 -2 5
L L D L W
19 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
20 6 0 4 2 7:10 -3 4
D L L D D
21 5 1 1 3 5:10 -5 4
L W L D L
22 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L D
23 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
D L D L L
24 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One