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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Middlesbrough
FT
1 - 2
Millwall
Riverside Stadium
Referee: A. Backhouse
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Riley McGree
Middlesbrough
🟨
13'
Jake Cooper
Millwall
⚽
26'
D. Fry · Assist: A. Browne
Middlesbrough
⚽
58'
J. Coburn · Assist: M. Ivanovic
Millwall
🔄
64'
C. De Norre ↔ B. Bannan
Millwall
🔄
78'
M. Targett ↔ A. Bangura
Middlesbrough
🔄
85'
M. Ivanovic ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
⚽
86'
J. Coburn · Assist: B. Bannan
Millwall
🔄
89'
C. Brittain ↔ J. Sarmiento
Middlesbrough
🔄
90+5'
F. Azeez ↔ D. McNamara
Millwall
🔄
90+5'
B. Mitchell ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.39
Millwall1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
60 GF / 40 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
54 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
22
BTTS Yes
20
21
Over 2.5
20
4.65
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 40 matches
Millwall Millwall 40 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Millwall
20 Wins 20
11 Draws 9
9 Losses 11
60 Goals For 54
40 Goals Against 49
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
22 BTTS Yes 20
28 Over 1.5 32
21 Over 2.5 20
11 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 7
4.65 Shots On Goal 4.23
15.1 Total Shots 12.7
6.35 Corners 5.5
59.3% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 6 times, Millwall won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Millwall 4-3-1-2
Missing players: Middlesbrough 5, Millwall 5
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 6, draws 4, Millwall wins 5
Stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
18
Blocked Shots
3
17 Corner Kicks 6
4 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
18 Blocked Shots 3
27 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
420 Total passes 272
320 Passes accurate 177
3.04 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Middlesbrough
Formation
Millwall
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
A. Malanda
A. Malanda
D. Fry
⚽
D. Fry
C. Brittain
↓
C. Brittain
A. Browne
🎯
A. Browne
A. Morris
A. Morris
M. Targett
↓
M. Targett
R. McGree
R. McGree
T. Conway
T. Conway
D. Strelec
D. Strelec
A. Patterson
A. Patterson
T. Crama
T. Crama
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
Z. Sturge
Z. Sturge
F. Azeez
↓
F. Azeez
B. Mitchell
↓
B. Mitchell
C. De Norre
↓
C. De Norre
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
M. Ivanovic
🎯 ↓
M. Ivanovic
J. Coburn
⚽ 2
J. Coburn
Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
12
L. Ayling
D
29
A. Malanda
D
6
D. Fry
⚽ 26'
D
2
C. Brittain
↓ 89'
M
16
A. Browne
🎯 26'
M
18
A. Morris
M
3
M. Targett
↓ 78'
M
8
R. McGree
🟨 13'
F
9
T. Conway
F
13
D. Strelec
F
Substitutes
32
J. Wildsmith
G
24
A. Bangura
↑ 78'
D
25
G. Edmundson
D
45
J. Sarmiento
↑ 89'
M
15
F. Munroe
D
28
L. McCabe
M
44
C. Ibeh
F
14
A. Gilbert
F
20
M. K. Sene
F
Millwall 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
13
A. Patterson
G
4
T. Crama
D
6
C. Taylor
D
5
J. Cooper
🟨 13'
D
3
Z. Sturge
D
11
F. Azeez
↓ 90+5'
M
8
B. Mitchell
↓ 90+5'
M
24
C. De Norre
↓ 64'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
9
M. Ivanovic
🎯 58' ↓ 85'
F
19
J. Coburn
⚽ 58' ⚽ 86'
F
Substitutes
15
M. Crocombe
G
67
B. Bannan
🎯 86' ↑ 64'
M
2
D. McNamara
↑ 90+5'
D
25
L. Cundle
↑ 90+5'
M
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
M
23
J. Bryan
D
7
T. Ballo
F
17
M. Langstaff
↑ 85'
F
22
T. Watson
F
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
H2H: Middlesbrough vs Millwall
03.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
0
3
W
12.04.25
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
14.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
0
W
13.01.24
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
05.08.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
0
1
L
14.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
0
W
08.10.22
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
20.11.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
12.12.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
3
0
W
08.07.20
H2H
Millwall
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
24.08.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
19.01.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
03.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
0
W
05.08.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
0
1
L
14.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
0
W
20.11.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
12.12.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
3
0
W
24.08.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
19.01.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
Last matches: Millwall
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
H2H away: Millwall
03.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
W
14.12.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
0
L
05.08.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
0
1
W
14.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
0
L
20.11.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
12.12.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
3
0
L
24.08.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D
19.01.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
1
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Away
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Home
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Middlesbrough 5 missing
-
A. Jones
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
D. Lenihan
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
S. Silvera
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
H. Hackney
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
M. Whittaker
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Millwall 5 missing
-
L. Jensen
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Kelly
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Luongo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Doughty
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
R. Leonard
Questionable Inactive
OUT