Mexico
Match Timeline
England
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
No
0 agree /
2 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
0 agree /
1 disagree
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 42.6%
Draw 11.8%
England Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.4
England1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico
WWDLW
23 GF / 2 GA
England
WLDWL
13 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mexico
12 matches
England
8 matches
| Mexico | Statistic | England |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 23 | Goals For | 13 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.63 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 12.42 | Total Shots | 19.63 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 8.25 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 66.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 0 times, England won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Mexico's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-1-2-3 / England 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 0, draws 0, England wins 1
Stats
Mexico
England
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
0
0
Lineups
Mexico
Formation
England
R. Rangel
J. Sanchez
C. Montes
J. Vasquez
J. Gallardo
E. Lira
G. Mora
L. Romo
R. Alvarado
R. Jimenez
J. Quinones
J. Pickford
J. Quansah
E. Konsa
M. Guehi
N. O'Reilly
E. Anderson
D. Rice
B. Saka
J. Bellingham
A. Gordon
H. Kane
Mexico
4-1-2-3
Starting XI
1
R. Rangel
G
2
J. Sanchez
D
↓ 79'
🟨 71'
3
C. Montes
D
↓ 46'
5
J. Vasquez
D
🟨 90+8'
23
J. Gallardo
D
6
E. Lira
M
19
G. Mora
M
↓ 61'
7
L. Romo
D
↓ 61'
25
R. Alvarado
F
9
R. Jimenez
F
⚽ 69'
16
J. Quinones
F
⚽ 42'
↓ 81'
Substitutes
13
G. Ochoa
G
12
C. Acevedo
G
22
G. Martinez
F
↑ 81'
24
L. Chavez
M
15
I. Reyes
D
18
O. Vargas
M
20
M. Chavez Garcia
D
17
O. Pineda
M
8
A. Fidalgo
M
↑ 79'
10
A. Vega
F
4
E. Alvarez
M
↑ 46'
11
S. Gimenez
F
↑ 61'
21
C. S. Huerta Valera
F
26
B. Gutierrez
M
↑ 61'
14
A. Gonzalez
F
England
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pickford
G
26
J. Quansah
D
🟥 54'
2
E. Konsa
D
6
M. Guehi
D
🟨 68'
3
N. O'Reilly
D
↓ 74'
🟨 72'
8
E. Anderson
M
↓ 75'
4
D. Rice
M
🟨 1'
7
B. Saka
F
🎯 36'
↓ 57'
10
J. Bellingham
M
⚽ 36'
⚽ 38'
18
A. Gordon
F
9
H. Kane
F
⚽ 60'
🎯 38'
↓ 90'
Substitutes
13
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Trafford
G
14
J. Henderson
M
🟨 90+8'
15
D. Burn
D
↑ 75'
19
O. Watkins
F
12
T. Chalobah
D
24
R. James
D
20
N. Madueke
F
17
M. Rogers
M
↑ 90'
16
K. Mainoo
M
5
J. Stones
D
↑ 57'
22
I. Toney
F
11
M. Rashford
F
21
E. Eze
M
25
D. Spence
D
↑ 74'
Last matches: Mexico
01.07.26
Wor
Mexico
Ecuador
2
0
W
25.06.26
Wor
Mexico
Czechia
3
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Bolivia
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Panama
1
0
W
Last matches: England
18.07.26
Wor
England
France
6
4
W
15.07.26
Wor
England
Argentina
1
2
L
11.07.26
Wor
England
Norway
2
1
W
01.07.26
Wor
England
Congo DR
2
1
W
27.06.26
Wor
England
Panama
2
0
W
23.06.26
Wor
England
Ghana
0
0
D
17.06.26
Wor
England
Croatia
4
2
W
10.06.26
Fri
England
Costa Rica
3
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
England
New Zealand
1
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
England
Japan
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
England
Uruguay
1
1
D
16.11.25
Wor
England
Albania
2
0
W
13.11.25
Wor
England
Serbia
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
England
Latvia
5
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
England
Serbia
5
0
W
06.09.25
Wor
England
Andorra
2
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
England
Andorra
1
0
W
24.03.25
Wor
England
Latvia
3
0
W
21.03.25
Wor
England
Albania
2
0
W
17.11.24
UEF
England
Rep. Of Ireland
5
0
W
H2H: Mexico vs England
06.07.26
H2H
Mexico
England
2
3
L
Last matches: Mexico
01.07.26
Wor
Mexico
Ecuador
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
H2H at home: Mexico
06.07.26
H2H
Mexico
England
2
3
L
Last matches: England
18.07.26
Wor
England
France
6
4
W
11.07.26
Wor
England
Norway
2
1
W
27.06.26
Wor
England
Panama
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
England
Albania
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
England
Latvia
5
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
England
Serbia
5
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
England
Andorra
1
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
England
Greece
3
0
W
13.10.24
UEF
England
Finland
3
1
W
07.09.24
UEF
England
Rep. Of Ireland
2
0
W
H2H away: England
06.07.26
H2H
Mexico
England
2
3
W