WORLD WORLD CUP
06.07.2026 01:00
Estadio Banorte
Referee: A. Faghani
Mexico
Match Timeline
England
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
D. Rice
England
36'
J. Bellingham · Assist: B. Saka
England
38'
J. Bellingham · Assist: H. Kane
England
42'
J. Quinones
Mexico
🔄
46'
C. Montes ↔ E. Alvarez
Mexico
🟥
54'
J. Quansah
England
🔄
57'
B. Saka ↔ J. Stones
England
60'
H. Kane
England
🔄
61'
G. Mora ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
🔄
61'
L. Romo ↔ B. Gutierrez
Mexico
🟨
68'
M. Guehi
England
69'
R. Jimenez
Mexico
🟨
71'
J. Sanchez
Mexico
🟨
72'
N. O'Reilly
England
🔄
74'
N. O'Reilly ↔ D. Spence
England
🔄
75'
E. Anderson ↔ D. Burn
England
🔄
79'
J. Sanchez ↔ A. Fidalgo
Mexico
🔄
81'
J. Quinones ↔ G. Martinez
Mexico
🟨
90+8'
J. Vasquez
Mexico
🟨
90+8'
J. Henderson
England
🔄
90'
H. Kane ↔ M. Rogers
England

Mexico vs England Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
0 agree / 2 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 42.6%
Draw 11.8%
England Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.4
England1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
23 GF / 2 GA
England England
WLDWL
13 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 12 matches
England England 8 matches
Mexico Statistic England
10 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
23 Goals For 13
2 Goals Against 5
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
2 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
10 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 6
12.42 Total Shots 19.63
4.25 Corners 8.25
53.7% Ball Possession 66.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 0 times, England won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Mexico's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-1-2-3 / England 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 0, draws 0, England wins 1

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 6:0 6 9
L W W W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:3 -1 4
L W D L
3 3 1 0 2 2:3 -1 3
L L W
4 3 0 1 2 2:6 -4 1
L D L
Round of 32