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10.11.2026 20:30
Estadio Polideportivo Sur

Envigado vs Popayan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
80.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 51.2%
Draw 29.5%
Popayan Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.32
Popayan1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
L D W W W
6 GF / 2 GA
Popayan Popayan
W W D W L
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
21
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 42 matches
Popayan Popayan 33 matches
Envigado Statistic Popayan
19 Wins 10
14 Draws 11
9 Losses 12
56 Goals For 41
36 Goals Against 43
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
21 BTTS Yes 20
29 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Envigado's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Popayan. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Popayan having the stronger overall control. Envigado arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 68 points compared to Popayan in 10 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 68 points after 41 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 14 draws, and 9 losses, with a 54:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Popayan Analysis

So far, Popayan have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 41 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 41:43 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.7%)

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 20 10 9 43:30 13 70
L W W W W
2 41 18 14 9 54:35 19 68
L D W W W
3 39 17 13 9 53:37 16 64
D D D W W
4 40 16 14 10 62:46 16 62
L D D W D
5 36 17 10 9 43:33 10 61
L L D D L
6 39 13 14 12 37:31 6 53
W D D L D
7 33 12 12 9 36:30 6 48
D L L L W
8 36 10 14 12 30:36 -6 44
D W D D D
9 32 10 12 10 34:32 2 42
D L W D D
10 33 10 11 12 41:43 -2 41
W W D W L
11 36 10 10 16 44:48 -4 40
D L D W D
12 30 9 8 13 30:40 -10 35
L L L D L
13 30 8 10 12 24:31 -7 34
W L D W L
14 30 6 9 15 28:44 -16 27
L L W D L
15 30 5 12 13 26:43 -17 27
D W D W L
16 30 5 9 16 20:46 -26 24
L L W D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)