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27.09.2026 01:00
M&T Bank Stadium
Referee: Guido Gonzales Jr, USA
Mexico
Match Timeline
Colombia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
L. Suarez · Assist: R. Rios
Colombia
🟨
23'
Luis Javier Suárez
Colombia
🟨
37'
Álvaro Angulo
Colombia
🟨
43'
Hirving Lozano
Mexico
🟨
59'
Jorge Sánchez
Mexico
⚽
62'
G. Mora · Assist: J. Gallardo
Mexico
🔄
64'
J. Gallardo ↔ M. Chavez Garcia
Mexico
🔄
64'
L. Chavez ↔ O. Vargas
Mexico
🔄
64'
H. Lozano ↔ O. Pineda
Mexico
🔄
64'
G. Mora ↔ A. Fidalgo
Mexico
🔄
66'
A. Angulo ↔ S. Velasquez
Colombia
🔄
66'
A. Gomez ↔ J. Campaz
Colombia
🔄
66'
L. Suarez ↔ K. Viveros
Colombia
🔄
71'
K. Castano ↔ M. Orozco
Colombia
🔄
71'
R. Rios ↔ Y. Asprilla
Colombia
🔄
74'
J. Sanchez ↔ J. Marquez
Mexico
🔄
74'
A. Gonzalez ↔ G. Berterame
Mexico
🔄
74'
R. Alvarado ↔ I. Violante
Mexico
🔄
88'
E. Lira ↔ D. Garcia
Mexico

Mexico vs Colombia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 65.7%
Draw 4.8%
Colombia Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.46
Colombia0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
25 GF / 5 GA
Colombia Colombia
WLDWL
12 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
4.54
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 13 matches
Colombia Colombia 9 matches
Mexico Statistic Colombia
10 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
25 Goals For 12
5 Goals Against 7
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
3 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
4.54 Shots On Goal 4.78
13 Total Shots 13.56
4.85 Corners 4.22
54.7% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 0 times, Colombia won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from Mexico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / Colombia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Mexico wins 0, draws 0, Colombia wins 3