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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
19.09.2026 18:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Referee: Tifenn Leprodhomme, France
Metz
Match Timeline
Saint Etienne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Sohaib Nair
Saint Etienne
🟨
30'
Believe Munongo
Metz
🟨
38'
Augustine Boakye
Saint Etienne
🟨
52'
Jessy Deminguet
Metz
🔄
58'
T. Ballo ↔ Z. Davitashvili
Saint Etienne
⚽
67'
K. Pedro · Assist: A. Boakye
Saint Etienne
⚽
71'
A. Boakye · Assist: A. Csongvai
Saint Etienne
🔄
72'
H. Kadamani ↔ J. Pandore
Metz
🔄
72'
B. Munongo ↔ A. Mbodji
Metz
⚽
79'
A. Mbodji · Assist: J. Ruiz
Metz
🔄
80'
J. Breum ↔ T. Svetlin
Saint Etienne
🔄
80'
I. Cardona ↔ J. Duffus
Saint Etienne
🟨
81'
Julien Le Cardinal
Saint Etienne
🔄
83'
J. Ruiz ↔ I. Mohamed
Metz
🔄
86'
J. Le Cardinal ↔ C. Lamba
Saint Etienne
🔄
86'
A. Boakye ↔ A. Baallal
Saint Etienne
⚽
89'
J. Deminguet
Metz
🟨
90'
Kevin Pedro
Saint Etienne

Metz vs Saint Etienne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Metz Win 53.7%
Draw 4.7%
Saint Etienne Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metz1.79
Saint Etienne1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metz Metz
WWDLW
32 GF / 17 GA
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.55
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
12
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
10
4.17
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metz Metz 15 matches
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 11 matches
Metz Statistic Saint Etienne
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
32 Goals For 28
17 Goals Against 14
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.55
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
12 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
4.17 Shots On Goal 7
14 Total Shots 15.33
4.83 Corners 4.17
50% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Saint Etienne look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Saint Etienne. Saint Etienne carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Metz sit 5 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Metz Analysis

Placed 5 with 9 points from 5 outings, Metz continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 8:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Fall (5 goals), J. Deminguet (1 goals), T. Savanier (1 goals), with creative support from J. Deminguet (2 assists), T. Savanier (2 assists), F. Miguel (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Saint Etienne Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 5 games, Saint Etienne bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 16:4, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Cardona (4 goals), T. Ballo (4 goals), A. Boakye (2 goals), with creative support from I. Cardona (4 assists), T. Ballo (2 assists), A. Boakye (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 6 times, Saint Etienne won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Metz's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Metz 4-2-3-1 / Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Metz wins 6, draws 4, Saint Etienne wins 5

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 21:8 13 19
W D L W W
2 8 5 2 1 12:9 3 17
W W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
4 8 3 5 0 15:9 6 14
D D W D W
5 8 4 1 3 9:7 2 13
W W L L W
6 8 4 1 3 10:9 1 13
W L L W D
7 8 3 3 2 14:12 2 12
W W W D L
8 8 3 2 3 9:8 1 11
W W L D D
9 8 2 5 1 5:6 -1 11
D D W D D
10
Metz Home
8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L W D
11 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D L
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
D W L W D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
L D W L W
15 8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
16 8 0 6 2 4:6 -2 6
D L D D D
17 8 0 6 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D D D
18 8 1 2 5 10:17 -7 5
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3