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30.10.2026 19:00
FT
1 - 3
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Referee: Bastein Dechepy
Metz
Match Timeline
PAU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Cheikh Fall · Assist: Jessy Benet
PAU
⚽
18'
Jessy Benet
PAU
🟨
45+3'
Cristian Castro
Metz
🔄
45'
Abdourahmane Mbodj ↔ Jahyann Pandore
Metz
🔄
45'
Bryan Song ↔ Ibou Sane
Metz
🟨
58'
Axel Bamba
PAU
🔄
61'
Jeremy Sebas ↔ Babacar Leye
PAU
🔄
61'
Abdel Hakim Abdallah ↔ Souleymane Basse
PAU
🔄
62'
Urie-Michel Mboula ↔ Florian Miguel
Metz
⚽
64'
Cheikh Fall · Assist: Babacar Leye
PAU
🔄
67'
Idris Mohamed ↔ Abdoulaye Agne Ba
Metz
⚽
68'
Hacene Benali
PAU
🟨
75'
Lorenzo Rajot
PAU
⚽
75'
Teji Savanier
Metz
🔄
76'
Hacene Benali ↔ Alexis Lefebvre
PAU
🔄
79'
Nathan Mbala ↔ Hamza Kadamani
Metz
🟨
85'
Teji Savanier
Metz

Metz vs PAU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Metz Win 57.1%
Draw 19.8%
PAU Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metz1.82
PAU1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metz Metz
D W L D L
8 GF / 10 GA
PAU PAU
W W W W W
12 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
16
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
9
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metz Metz 19 matches
PAU PAU 16 matches
Metz Statistic PAU
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 2
4 Losses 6
40 Goals For 21
26 Goals Against 22
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
16 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.4
13.8 Total Shots 14.4
4.4 Corners 4.2
51.6% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 1 times, PAU won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Metz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Metz 4-1-4-1 / PAU 5-3-2
H2H summary: Metz wins 1, draws 2, PAU wins 1

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:11 14 28
W L W W W
2 12 8 1 3 17:9 8 25
W W W W W
3 12 7 3 2 18:9 9 24
L W W W W
4 12 5 6 1 24:15 9 21
L W D W D
5
PAU Away
12 6 2 4 16:13 3 20
L W W W W
6 12 5 3 4 21:19 2 18
W W L L W
7
Metz Home
12 4 5 3 20:19 1 17
W L D W L
8 12 5 2 5 14:17 -3 17
L L L L W
9 12 5 1 6 14:18 -4 16
L L W L W
10 12 4 3 5 17:17 0 15
W L D W L
11 12 4 2 6 16:18 -2 14
L W W L L
12 12 2 7 3 10:8 2 13
W L D W D
13 12 4 1 7 17:23 -6 13
L W W L L
14 12 3 3 6 14:18 -4 12
W D L L D
15 12 1 8 3 11:15 -4 11
W D L D L
16 12 2 5 5 8:15 -7 11
L L L L D
17 12 3 2 7 13:22 -9 11
W L L L L
18 12 2 3 7 14:23 -9 9
L W L D L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3