Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
96.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
92.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
91.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Metz
Monaco
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Metz
33 matches
Monaco
44 matches
| Metz | Statistic | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 19 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 22 | Losses | 14 |
| 34 | Goals For | 72 |
| 74 | Goals Against | 71 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 25 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.64 |
| 10.09 | Total Shots | 12.64 |
| 4.09 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Monaco's more proactive style and Metz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monaco. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Monaco in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monaco having the stronger overall control. Monaco carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 51 points while Metz sit 18 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Metz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 16 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 31:70 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Hein (8 goals), H. Diallo (4 goals), G. Tsitaishvili (3 goals), with creative support from G. Hein (6 assists), G. Tsitaishvili (2 assists), N. Mbala (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 31 matches, Monaco have collected 51 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 54:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Balogun (12 goals), A. Fati (9 goals), M. Akliouche (6 goals), with creative support from M. Akliouche (5 assists), Aleksandr Golovin (5 assists), L. Camara (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 2 times, Monaco won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:35 from Metz's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Metz
1
3
10
7
2
5
Lineups
Metz
FC Differdange 03
Metz
US Mondorf-les-bains
Metz
Nice
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Paris FC
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Lens
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Metz
Angers
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Strasbourg
Metz
Montpellier
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Lille
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Auxerre
Monaco
Paris FC
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
Lyon
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Angers
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Nantes
Monaco
Nice
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Rennes
Monaco
Juventus
Monaco
Le Havre
Monaco
Real Madrid
Metz
FC Differdange 03
Metz
US Mondorf-les-bains
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Paris FC
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Montpellier
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Nice
Metz
Lens
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Angers
Metz
Strasbourg
Metz
Reims
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Paris FC
Monaco
Lyon
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
Nice
Monaco
Strasbourg
Monaco
Le Havre
Monaco
Real Madrid
Monaco
Orleans
Monaco
Auxerre
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Pafos
Monaco
Rennes
Monaco
Bodo/Glimt
Monaco
Nantes
Monaco
Angers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Monaco
Away
|
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Metz
Home
|
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|