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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
04.10.2025 15:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Referee: Clement Turpin, France
Metz
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
J. Gbamin ↔ M. Colin
Metz
⚽
51'
I. Paixao · Assist: R. Vaz
Marseille
🔄
64'
A. Gomes ↔ L. Balerdi
Marseille
🔄
64'
R. Vaz ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
⚽
69'
M. O'Riley · Assist: A. Gouiri
Marseille
⚽
76'
A. Gouiri · Assist: M. O'Riley
Marseille
🔄
79'
J. Deminguet ↔ A. Toure
Metz
🔄
79'
H. Diallo ↔ B. Madjo
Metz
🔄
79'
F. Ballo-Toure ↔ G. Tsitaishvili
Metz
🔄
80'
T. Weah ↔ M. Murillo
Marseille
🔄
80'
I. Paixao ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🔄
85'
M. O'Riley ↔ A. Vermeeren
Marseille

Metz vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Metz Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metz0.85
Marseille2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metz Metz
WWDLW
5 GF / 13 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
17 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
2.13
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metz Metz 6 matches
Marseille Marseille 8 matches
Metz Statistic Marseille
0 Wins 5
2 Draws 0
4 Losses 3
5 Goals For 17
13 Goals Against 7
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
2 Shots On Goal 5
8.5 Total Shots 13
4.17 Corners 5.5
49.8% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 1 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Metz's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Metz 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Metz wins 1, draws 6, Marseille wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz Home
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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