VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Metropolitanos FC Win 63.8%
Draw 13.8%
UCV Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metropolitanos FC1.36
UCV1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
UCV UCV
WLDWL
43 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.48
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
17
6
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
2.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 21 matches
UCV UCV 29 matches
Metropolitanos FC Statistic UCV
11 Wins 12
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 11
26 Goals For 43
19 Goals Against 45
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
9 BTTS Yes 17
12 Over 1.5 25
6 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 2.63
0 Total Shots 8.13
0 Corners 1.13
0% Ball Possession 28.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UCV. UCV arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UCV having the stronger overall control.

Metropolitanos FC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 13 games, Metropolitanos FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 17:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

UCV Analysis

UCV sit 4 with 23 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 24:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Metropolitanos FC won 5 times, UCV won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Metropolitanos FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Metropolitanos FC - / UCV 4-3-3
H2H summary: Metropolitanos FC wins 5, draws 6, UCV wins 4
Last matches: Metropolitanos FC
05.08.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
5
L
24.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
12.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Caracas FC
0
1
L
23.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Anzoátegui FC
2
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Portuguesa FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
Last matches: UCV
04.08.26
Pri
UCV
Monagas SC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
2
3
L
27.05.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
19.05.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1
W
06.05.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
UCV
Carabobo FC
2
4
L
09.04.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
3
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
UCV
Anzoátegui FC
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
17.03.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
0
3
L
H2H: Metropolitanos FC vs UCV
13.02.26
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
3
2
L
22.09.25
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
1
4
W
12.04.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
0
1
L
24.07.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
5
2
W
30.04.24
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
12.02.24
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
3
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
3
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
1
1
D
14.09.22
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
2
3
W
03.03.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
0
W
15.10.21
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
29.08.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
1
1
D
08.07.21
H2H
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
23.05.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
3
2
W
Last matches: Metropolitanos FC
02.08.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
5
L
17.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
23.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Anzoátegui FC
2
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Portuguesa FC
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
H2H at home: Metropolitanos FC
12.04.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
0
1
L
24.07.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
5
2
W
05.02.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
1
1
D
03.03.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
0
W
29.08.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
1
1
D
23.05.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
3
2
W
Last matches: UCV
01.08.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
0
2
L
27.05.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
19.05.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
16.04.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
UCV
Carabobo FC
2
4
L
03.04.26
Pri
UCV
Anzoátegui FC
3
2
W
17.03.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
5
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
UCV
Caracas FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
UCV
Monagas SC
3
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
UCV
Fundación Lara Deportiva
2
2
D
H2H away: UCV
12.04.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
0
1
W
24.07.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
5
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
1
1
D
03.03.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
0
L
29.08.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
1
1
D
23.05.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
3
2
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4
UCV Away
13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)