VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Metropolitanos FC Win 60.1%
Draw 11.1%
Puerto Cabello Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metropolitanos FC1.11
Puerto Cabello1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 17 GA
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
7
BTTS Yes
14
4
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 19 matches
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 23 matches
Metropolitanos FC Statistic Puerto Cabello
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 7
22 Goals For 29
17 Goals Against 24
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
7 BTTS Yes 14
10 Over 1.5 18
4 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Metropolitanos FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 25 points compared to Puerto Cabello in 8 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Puerto Cabello. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Puerto Cabello having the stronger overall control.

Metropolitanos FC Analysis

Metropolitanos FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 25 points after 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 17:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Miku (8 goals), A. Bianciotti (3 goals), K. Ortiz (3 goals), with creative support from R. Figueroa (6 assists), Miku (1 assists), K. Ortiz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

So far, Puerto Cabello have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 17 points from 13 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Ponce (4 goals), E. Pernia (4 goals), J. Castillo (4 goals), with creative support from R. D. Flores Barrios (2 assists), R. Rosales (2 assists), A. Ponce (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Metropolitanos FC won 6 times, Puerto Cabello won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Metropolitanos FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
H2H summary: Metropolitanos FC wins 6, draws 5, Puerto Cabello wins 4
Last matches: Metropolitanos FC
31.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
5
L
24.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
12.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Caracas FC
0
1
L
23.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Academia Anzoátegui
2
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Portuguesa FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
UCV
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
30.01.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
Last matches: Puerto Cabello
07.06.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
UCV
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Portuguesa FC
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
UCV
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Monagas SC
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
UCV
3
0
W
13.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
08.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Academia Anzoátegui
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Rayo Zuliano
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Zamora FC
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Caracas FC
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
H2H: Metropolitanos FC vs Puerto Cabello
30.01.26
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
04.07.25
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
2
2
D
23.05.25
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
05.03.25
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
3
0
L
24.01.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
13.10.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
11.07.24
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
2
4
W
15.04.24
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
2
3
W
03.09.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
03.03.23
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
L
19.06.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
29.05.22
H2H
Puerto Cabello
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
W
26.01.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
27.11.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
Last matches: Metropolitanos FC
31.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
5
L
17.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
23.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Academia Anzoátegui
2
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Portuguesa FC
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
H2H at home: Metropolitanos FC
17.05.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
24.01.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
13.10.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
19.06.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
26.01.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
27.11.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
Last matches: Puerto Cabello
07.06.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
UCV
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Monagas SC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
23.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
08.03.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Academia Anzoátegui
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Rayo Zuliano
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Puerto Cabello
Caracas FC
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Puerto Cabello
UCV
1
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Puerto Cabello
Deportivo La Guaira
2
1
W
H2H away: Puerto Cabello
17.05.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
24.01.25
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
L
13.10.24
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
L
19.06.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
W
26.01.22
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
L
27.11.21
H2H
Metropolitanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
2
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
?
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
?
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
?
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
?
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
?
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
?
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
?
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
?
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
?
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
?
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
?
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
?
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
?
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
?
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)