Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Merthyr Town Win 36.5%
Draw 6.7%
Swansea Win 56.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Merthyr Town2.03
Swansea1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Merthyr Town
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Swansea
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Merthyr Town
4 matches
Swansea
3 matches
| Merthyr Town | Statistic | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 4 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Merthyr Town won 1 times, Swansea won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Merthyr Town's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Merthyr Town - / Swansea 4-3-3
H2H summary: Merthyr Town wins 1, draws 0, Swansea wins 0
Last matches: Merthyr Town
01.08.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Worcester City
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Briton Ferry
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Forest Green
1
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Yeovil Town
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Cambrian & Clydach
4
2
W
15.11.25
FA
Merthyr Town
Hanwell Town
2
3
L
27.09.25
FA
Merthyr Town
Hampton & Richmond
0
1
L
13.09.25
FA
Merthyr Town
Torpoint Athletic
4
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
29.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
3
0
W
22.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
15.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
H2H: Merthyr Town vs Swansea
28.07.26
H2H
Merthyr Town
Swansea
3
0
W
Last matches: Merthyr Town
21.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Briton Ferry
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Forest Green
1
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Yeovil Town
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Merthyr Town
Cambrian & Clydach
4
2
W
15.11.25
FA
Merthyr Town
Hanwell Town
2
3
L
27.09.25
FA
Merthyr Town
Hampton & Richmond
0
1
L
13.09.25
FA
Merthyr Town
Torpoint Athletic
4
0
W
H2H at home: Merthyr Town
28.07.26
H2H
Merthyr Town
Swansea
3
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
29.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
3
0
W
15.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
04.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Millwall
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
1
L
13.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H away: Swansea
28.07.26
H2H
Merthyr Town
Swansea
3
0
L