Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Newcastle Jets
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Jets Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.62
Newcastle Jets1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
40 GF / 31 GA
Newcastle Jets
WLDWL
49 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
13
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
18
5.75
Shots on Goal
5.58
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne Victory
24 matches
Newcastle Jets
24 matches
| Melbourne Victory | Statistic | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 40 | Goals For | 49 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.04 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 5.58 |
| 17.38 | Total Shots | 14.79 |
| 6.21 | Corners | 4.96 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 5 times, Newcastle Jets won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:25 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 3-4-3 / Newcastle Jets 4-3-3
Missing players: Melbourne Victory 4, Newcastle Jets 10
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 5, draws 5, Newcastle Jets wins 5
Stats
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Melbourne Victory
Formation
Newcastle Jets
J. Warshawsky
S. Esposito
Roderick
J. Davidson
J. Rawlins
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
F. Lino
K. Jelacic
C. Nduka
N. Velupillay
J. Delianov
J. Bertolissio
K. Grozos
M. Natta
D. Wilmering
Z. Clough
M. Burgess
L. Bayliss
E. Adams
L. Rose
C. Taylor
Melbourne Victory
3-4-3
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
15
S. Esposito
D
21
Roderick
D
🟨 25'
2
J. Davidson
D
22
J. Rawlins
M
🎯 31'
🟨 90+1'
10
D. Genreau
M
8
J. Valadon
M
↓ 82'
18
F. Lino
M
🎯 34'
23
K. Jelacic
F
↓ 65'
44
C. Nduka
F
⚽ 31'
⚽ 34'
17
N. Velupillay
F
↓ 82'
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
5
B. Hamill
D
27
L. D'Arrigo
M
↑ 82'
14
M. Grimaldi
F
↑ 65'
9
N. Vergos
F
7
R. Piscopo
F
11
Clarismario
F
↑ 82'
Newcastle Jets
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Delianov
G
22
J. Bertolissio
D
17
K. Grozos
D
33
M. Natta
D
23
D. Wilmering
D
10
Z. Clough
M
↓ 57'
14
M. Burgess
M
🎯 19'
🟨 44'
8
L. Bayliss
M
7
E. Adams
F
⚽ 19'
⚽ 89'
🟨 15'
9
L. Rose
F
↓ 70'
13
C. Taylor
F
↓ 81'
Substitutes
20
A. Nassiep
G
18
K. Mizunuma
M
11
B. Gibson
F
↑ 70'
41
L. Scicluna
M
43
X. Bertoncello
F
↑ 57'
24
A. Nunes
M
↑ 81'
42
M. Cooper
D
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Newcastle Jets
16.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
09.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
25.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
W
11.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
1
1
D
02.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
2
3
L
22.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
1
2
L
07.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
0
D
22.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
1
0
W
13.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
3
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
3
2
W
31.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
4
1
W
23.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
4
1
W
17.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City
1
0
W
01.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
3
1
W
26.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
4
5
L
20.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
0
W
14.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets
17.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
24.10.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
5
2
L
04.05.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
3
0
L
03.02.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
5
3
W
17.07.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
12.02.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L
04.11.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
4
0
W
16.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
12.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
10.04.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
21.02.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
0
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
05.01.20
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
4
0
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
17.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
04.05.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
5
3
W
04.11.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
4
0
W
12.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
21.02.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
0
1
L
05.01.20
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
4
0
W
Last matches: Newcastle Jets
09.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
02.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
2
3
L
22.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
0
D
13.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
3
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
3
2
W
17.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City
1
0
W
01.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
30.11.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
2
1
W
09.11.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
0
3
L
19.10.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
3
L
H2H away: Newcastle Jets
17.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
04.05.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
5
3
L
04.11.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
4
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
1
2
W
21.02.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
0
1
W
05.01.20
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
4
0
L
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Newcastle Jets
Away
|
26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
Home
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Missing Players
Melbourne Victory
4 missing
-
B. Hamill
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
J. Reec
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury
-
J. Mata
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
J. Inserra
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
Newcastle Jets
10 missing
-
A. Badolato
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
J. Baylis
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
C. Bracco
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
O. Fryer
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
N. James
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
B. Van Dorssen
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
T. Aquilina
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury
-
J. Shaughnessy
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
O. Cockle
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
W. Dobson
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive