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AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne Victory
FT
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
AAMI Park
Referee: S. Evans
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Brisbane Roar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
C. Nduka · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🟨
43'
Nicholas D'Agostino
Brisbane Roar
🟨
47'
Jordi Valadon
Melbourne Victory
🟨
53'
Michael Ruhs
Brisbane Roar
🟨
57'
Sebastian Esposito
Melbourne Victory
🔄
58'
K. Jelacic ↔ Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🔄
69'
N. Velupillay ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
69'
C. Nduka ↔ N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
70'
M. Ruhs ↔ E. Shaw
Brisbane Roar
🔄
71'
C. Long ↔ G. Vrakas
Brisbane Roar
⚽
76'
N. D'Agostino
Brisbane Roar
🔄
79'
N. D'Agostino ↔ J. Vidic
Brisbane Roar
🟨
81'
Joshua Rawlins
Melbourne Victory
🟨
85'
James McGarry
Brisbane Roar
🔄
90+2'
M. Dench ↔ J. Brazete
Brisbane Roar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brisbane Roar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.38
Brisbane Roar1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
WLDWL
17 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
9
5.63
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 16 matches
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 17 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Brisbane Roar
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 22
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 5
5.63 Shots On Goal 3.82
16.94 Total Shots 13.41
6.31 Corners 4.88
51.3% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 2 times, Brisbane Roar won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Brisbane Roar 3-4-3
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 2, draws 7, Brisbane Roar wins 6
Stats
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 2
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 5
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
519 Total passes 313
415 Passes accurate 224
1.12 expected_goals 0.77
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Melbourne Victory
Formation
Brisbane Roar
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
Roderick
Roderick
J. Davidson
J. Davidson
D. Genreau
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
J. Valadon
K. Jelacic
↓
K. Jelacic
J. Mata
🎯
J. Mata
N. Velupillay
↓
N. Velupillay
C. Nduka
⚽ ↓
C. Nduka
D. Bouzanis
D. Bouzanis
D. Valkanis
D. Valkanis
M. Lode
M. Lode
J. McGarry
J. McGarry
Y. Salas
Y. Salas
J. Durrington
J. Durrington
S. Klein
S. Klein
M. Dench
↓
M. Dench
M. Ruhs
↓
M. Ruhs
N. D'Agostino
⚽ ↓
N. D'Agostino
C. Long
↓
C. Long
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
22
J. Rawlins
🟨 81'
D
15
S. Esposito
🟨 57'
D
21
Roderick
D
2
J. Davidson
D
10
D. Genreau
M
8
J. Valadon
🟨 47'
M
23
K. Jelacic
↓ 58'
M
64
J. Mata
🎯 13'
M
17
N. Velupillay
↓ 69'
M
44
C. Nduka
⚽ 13' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
29
O. Dragicevic
M
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 69'
F
16
J. Inserra
D
11
Clarismario
↑ 58'
F
34
X. Stella
D
9
N. Vergos
↑ 69'
F
Brisbane Roar 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Bouzanis
G
3
D. Valkanis
D
5
M. Lode
D
23
J. McGarry
🟨 85'
D
2
Y. Salas
M
47
J. Durrington
M
8
S. Klein
M
16
M. Dench
↓ 90+2'
M
19
M. Ruhs
↓ 70' 🟨 53'
F
25
N. D'Agostino
⚽ 76' ↓ 79' 🟨 43'
F
9
C. Long
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
7
J. Brazete
↑ 90+2'
F
10
G. Vrakas
↑ 71'
F
15
H. Bility
D
17
J. Vidic
↑ 79'
F
41
E. Shaw
↑ 70'
M
44
J. Lauton
M
11
M. Freke
G
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Brisbane Roar
22.07.26
Fri
Brisbane Roar
Ipswich
5
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Brisbane Roar
Caboolture
3
0
W
25.04.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
1
2
L
18.04.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City
2
3
L
10.04.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
2
2
D
02.04.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Sydney
0
0
D
21.03.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
13.03.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
28.02.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Sydney
0
1
L
07.02.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
31.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
24.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Adelaide United
2
3
L
16.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
2
1
W
09.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Auckland
0
2
L
06.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City
0
1
L
03.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
L
31.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
19.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Macarthur
1
2
L
13.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
0
D
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar
14.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
28.11.25
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
2
0
W
20.04.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
3
2
L
29.04.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
06.01.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
0
0
D
04.09.22
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
25.04.22
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
12.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
06.02.21
H2H
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
5
2
L
02.01.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
3
L
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
14.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
2
0
W
20.04.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
06.01.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
12.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
02.01.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
3
L
Last matches: Brisbane Roar
22.07.26
Fri
Brisbane Roar
Ipswich
5
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Brisbane Roar
Caboolture
3
0
W
25.04.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
1
2
L
10.04.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
2
2
D
21.02.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Sydney
0
1
L
31.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
16.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
2
1
W
06.01.26
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City
0
1
L
31.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
19.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Macarthur
1
2
L
13.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
0
D
07.12.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Adelaide United
1
0
W
23.11.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Auckland
1
1
D
26.10.25
A-L
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
H2H away: Brisbane Roar
14.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
2
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
W
06.01.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
W
12.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
3
0
L
02.01.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
3
W

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Home
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar Away
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)