Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.2%
|
- |
Mbarara City
Maroons
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mbarara City
23 matches
Maroons
23 matches
| Mbarara City | Statistic | Maroons |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 17 | Goals For | 18 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.78 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Maroons's more proactive style and Mbarara City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maroons having the stronger overall control. Mbarara City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Maroons carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 29 points while Mbarara City sit 14 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maroons. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Mbarara City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 16:34 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Kanyike (5 goals), C. Kamugisha (2 goals), H. Kitegenyi (2 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Maroons have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 29 points from 23 matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 18:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Asaba (4 goals), I. Mayanja (3 goals), R. Walugembe (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Mbarara City won 2 times, Maroons won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Mbarara City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Mbarara City
KCCA
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Express
Mbarara City
NEC
Mbarara City
Police
Mbarara City
UPDF
Mbarara City
BUL
Mbarara City
Kitara
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
Calvary
Mbarara City
Maroons
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Calvary
Maroons
Lugazi
Maroons
Vipers
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
KCCA
Maroons
URA
Maroons
Police
Maroons
NEC
Maroons
BUL
Maroons
UPDF
Maroons
Calvary
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
Express
Maroons
SC Villa
Maroons
Kitara
Maroons
Mbarara City
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
KCCA
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
Express
Maroons
Kitara
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Express
Mbarara City
Police
Mbarara City
Kitara
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
Calvary
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
KCCA
Mbarara City
NEC
Mbarara City
BUL
Mbarara City
UPDF
Maroons
Lugazi
Maroons
KCCA
Maroons
URA
Maroons
NEC
Maroons
Calvary
Maroons
Express
Maroons
SC Villa
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
Kitara
Maroons
Vipers
Maroons
Police
Maroons
UPDF
Maroons
BUL
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Maroons
Away
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mbarara City
Home
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|