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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
22.09.2025 18:00
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Marseille
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Marquinhos
Marseille
🟨
18'
Benjamin Pavard
Marseille
🟨
50'
Timothy Weah
Marseille
🔄
61'
I. Paixao ↔ P. Aubameyang
Marseille
🔄
64'
W. Pacho ↔ Lee Kang-In
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
73'
W. Zaire-Emery ↔ S. Mayulu
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
78'
T. Weah ↔ M. Murillo
Marseille
🔄
79'
A. Gouiri ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🔄
89'
M. Greenwood ↔ R. Vaz
Marseille
🔄
89'
G. Ramos ↔ I. Mbaye
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
90+5'
Amir Murillo
Marseille
🟨
90+6'
Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.53
Paris Saint Germain2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
16 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
4.8
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 5 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 6 matches
Marseille Statistic Paris Saint Germain
2 Wins 5
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
10 Goals For 16
6 Goals Against 5
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 0
4.8 Shots On Goal 6.33
14 Total Shots 16.67
7 Corners 7.17
60.8% Ball Possession 73.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 3-4-2-1 / Paris Saint Germain 3-5-2
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 2, Paris Saint Germain wins 10

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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