FRANCE LIGUE 1
20.09.2026 18:45

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.76
Paris Saint Germain1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
12 GF / 12 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
8 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 7 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 6 matches
Marseille Statistic Paris Saint Germain
3 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
12 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 11
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 6.25
13.67 Total Shots 18
5 Corners 5.25
63.7% Ball Possession 67.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 2, Paris Saint Germain wins 10

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W W D
3 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
4 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
5 3 2 1 0 7:5 2 7
W W D
6 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
W W L
7 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
W D D
8 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
9 3 1 1 1 4:7 -3 4
L W D
10 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
11 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
12 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
13 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
14 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
D L D
15 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
D L D
16 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
L D L
17 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation