FRANCE LIGUE 1
20.09.2026 18:45

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.73
Paris Saint Germain1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
8 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
3
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 6 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 6 matches
Marseille Statistic Paris Saint Germain
3 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
10 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 11
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 6.25
13.5 Total Shots 18
5 Corners 5.25
65.5% Ball Possession 67.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 2, Paris Saint Germain wins 10

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
4 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
7 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
W L
11 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
12 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation