Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Montpellier Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.09
Montpellier1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
57 GF / 41 GA
Montpellier
WLDWL
21 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
0.72
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
2.28
18
BTTS Yes
12
19
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
29 matches
Montpellier
29 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 22 |
| 57 | Goals For | 21 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.72 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.28 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 8 times, Montpellier won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:13 from Marseille's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Montpellier 4-3-3
H2H summary: Marseille wins 8, draws 5, Montpellier wins 0
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
Last matches: Montpellier
21.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
0
W
14.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
1
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dijon
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Montpellier
Rodez
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Cannes
3
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
5
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Aubagne
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
24.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Amiens
2
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
H2H: Marseille vs Montpellier
19.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
5
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
5
W
25.02.24
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
4
1
W
20.12.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
1
D
31.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
2
W
10.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
2
0
W
29.01.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
2
3
W
10.04.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
3
3
D
06.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
3
1
W
05.08.20
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
0
0
D
14.03.20
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
24.05.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
H2H at home: Marseille
19.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
5
1
W
25.02.24
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
4
1
W
31.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
10.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
2
0
W
29.01.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
06.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
3
1
W
05.08.20
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
24.05.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
0
W
Last matches: Montpellier
21.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
0
W
14.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Amiens
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Montpellier
Nice
2
3
L
23.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
0
1
L
11.01.26
Cou
Montpellier
Metz
4
0
W
19.12.25
Cou
Montpellier
Canet Roussillon
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
1
1
D
29.11.25
Cou
Montpellier
Montceau
2
0
W
24.11.25
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
2
L
16.11.25
Cou
Montpellier
Agde
2
0
W
28.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
H2H away: Montpellier
19.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
5
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
4
1
L
31.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
10.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
2
0
L
29.01.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
06.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
3
1
L
05.08.20
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
24.05.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
0
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Home
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
Away
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation