FRANCE LIGUE 1
12.09.2025 18:45
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: T. Leonard
Marseille
Match Timeline
Lorient
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
10'
Darlin Yongwa
Lorient
13'
M. Greenwood
Marseille
🔄
14'
N. Cadiou ↔ A. Kouassi
Lorient
20'
B. Pavard · Assist: M. Greenwood
Marseille
🟨
26'
Benjamin Pavard
Marseille
33'
A. Gomes
Marseille
VAR
41'
Amine Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
44'
A. Gouiri ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
🟨
53'
Angel Gomes
Marseille
🟨
55'
Karim Dermane
Lorient
🔄
61'
F. Medina ↔ Emerson
Marseille
🔄
61'
G. Kondogbia ↔ P. Hojbjerg
Marseille
🔄
61'
T. Weah ↔ I. Paixao
Marseille
🔄
62'
D. Karim ↔ T. Le Bris
Lorient
🔄
62'
J. Makengo ↔ A. Avom
Lorient
🔄
62'
S. Soumano ↔ M. Bamba
Lorient
🟨
71'
Abdoulaye Faye
Lorient
🔄
74'
J. Mvuka Mugisha ↔ A. Tosin
Lorient
🔄
78'
B. Pavard ↔ A. Vermeeren
Marseille
🟨
86'
Igor Paixão
Marseille
90'
N. Aguerd · Assist: A. Vermeeren
Marseille

Marseille vs Lorient Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lorient Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.07
Lorient1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Lorient Lorient
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
3.67
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 3 matches
Lorient Lorient 3 matches
Marseille Statistic Lorient
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 8
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
3.67 Shots On Goal 4
13.33 Total Shots 14
7 Corners 3.33
58.3% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 10 times, Lorient won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:17 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Lorient 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 10, draws 3, Lorient wins 2

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation