FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: T. Leonard
Marseille
Match Timeline
Lorient
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
10'
Darlin Yongwa
Lorient
13'
M. Greenwood
Marseille
🔄
14'
N. Cadiou ↔ A. Kouassi
Lorient
20'
B. Pavard · Assist: M. Greenwood
Marseille
🟨
26'
Benjamin Pavard
Marseille
33'
A. Gomes
Marseille
VAR
41'
Amine Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
44'
A. Gouiri ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
🟨
53'
Angel Gomes
Marseille
🟨
55'
Karim Dermane
Lorient
🔄
61'
F. Medina ↔ Emerson
Marseille
🔄
61'
G. Kondogbia ↔ P. Hojbjerg
Marseille
🔄
61'
T. Weah ↔ I. Paixao
Marseille
🔄
62'
D. Karim ↔ T. Le Bris
Lorient
🔄
62'
J. Makengo ↔ A. Avom
Lorient
🔄
62'
S. Soumano ↔ M. Bamba
Lorient
🟨
71'
Abdoulaye Faye
Lorient
🔄
74'
J. Mvuka Mugisha ↔ A. Tosin
Lorient
🔄
78'
B. Pavard ↔ A. Vermeeren
Marseille
🟨
86'
Igor Paixão
Marseille
90'
N. Aguerd · Assist: A. Vermeeren
Marseille

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lorient Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.07
Lorient1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Lorient Lorient
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
3.67
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 3 matches
Lorient Lorient 3 matches
Marseille Statistic Lorient
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 8
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
3.67 Shots On Goal 4
13.33 Total Shots 14
7 Corners 3.33
58.3% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 10 times, Lorient won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:17 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Lorient 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 10, draws 3, Lorient wins 2
Stats
Marseille Marseille
Lorient Lorient
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 0
18 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 0
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
800 Total passes 306
746 Passes accurate 257
2.26 expected_goals 0.14
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Marseille
Formation
Lorient
J. De Lange
J. De Lange
M. Murillo
M. Murillo
B. Pavard
B. Pavard
N. Aguerd
N. Aguerd
F. Medina
F. Medina
A. Gomes
A. Gomes
G. Kondogbia
G. Kondogbia
M. Greenwood
🎯
M. Greenwood
B. Nadir
B. Nadir
T. Weah
T. Weah
A. Gouiri
A. Gouiri
Y. Mvogo
Y. Mvogo
B. Meite
B. Meite
M. Talbi
M. Talbi
A. Faye
A. Faye
J. Mvuka Mugisha
J. Mvuka Mugisha
N. Cadiou
N. Cadiou
L. Abergel
L. Abergel
D. Yongwa
D. Yongwa
J. Makengo
J. Makengo
D. Karim
D. Karim
S. Soumano
S. Soumano
Marseille 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
J. De Lange
G
62
M. Murillo
D
28
B. Pavard
⚽ 20' ↓ 78' 🟨 26'
D
21
N. Aguerd
⚽ 90'
D
32
F. Medina
↓ 61'
D
8
A. Gomes
⚽ 33' 🟨 53'
M
19
G. Kondogbia
↓ 61'
M
10
M. Greenwood
⚽ 13' 🎯 20'
M
26
B. Nadir
M
22
T. Weah
↓ 61'
M
9
A. Gouiri
↓ 44'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Rulli
G
5
L. Balerdi
D
33
Emerson
↑ 61'
D
17
M. O'Riley
↑ 44'
M
18
A. Vermeeren
🎯 90' ↑ 78'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
↑ 61'
M
14
I. Paixao
↑ 61' 🟨 86'
F
20
H. J. Traore
M
97
P. Aubameyang
F
Lorient 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
38
Y. Mvogo
G
5
B. Meite
D
3
M. Talbi
D
25
A. Faye
🟨 71'
D
93
J. Mvuka Mugisha
↓ 74'
M
8
N. Cadiou
↓ 14'
M
6
L. Abergel
M
44
D. Yongwa
🟥 10'
M
17
J. Makengo
↓ 62'
F
29
D. Karim
↓ 62' 🟨 55'
F
28
S. Soumano
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
21
B. Kamara
G
97
S. Siba
D
43
A. Kouassi
↑ 14'
D
33
M. Bley
M
11
T. Le Bris
↑ 62'
M
62
A. Avom
↑ 62'
M
9
M. Bamba
↑ 62'
F
15
A. Tosin
↑ 74'
F
12
B. Dieng
F
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Lorient
15.08.26
Fri
Lorient
SV Elversberg
1
4
L
08.08.26
Fri
Lorient
Angers
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Lorient
UNFP
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Guingamp
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Nantes
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Concarneau
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
1
D
04.03.26
Cou
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
3
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Angers
2
0
W
H2H: Marseille vs Lorient
18.04.26
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
L
12.09.25
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
4
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
1
W
10.12.23
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
2
4
W
09.04.23
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
0
0
D
14.01.23
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
1
W
08.05.22
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
0
3
W
17.10.21
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
4
1
W
17.04.21
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
2
W
24.10.20
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
0
1
W
05.03.17
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
1
4
W
26.08.16
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
2
0
W
12.03.16
H2H
Lorient
Marseille
1
1
D
18.10.15
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
1
1
D
24.04.15
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
5
L
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
H2H at home: Marseille
12.09.25
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
4
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
1
W
14.01.23
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
1
W
17.10.21
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
4
1
W
17.04.21
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
2
W
26.08.16
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
2
0
W
18.10.15
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
1
1
D
24.04.15
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
5
L
Last matches: Lorient
15.08.26
Fri
Lorient
SV Elversberg
1
4
L
08.08.26
Fri
Lorient
Angers
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Guingamp
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Concarneau
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Rennes
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Monaco
3
1
W
10.01.26
Cou
Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais
3
1
W
20.12.25
Cou
Lorient
Gosier
7
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Nantes
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Lens
0
3
L
26.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Angers
0
2
L
03.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Lorient
12.09.25
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
4
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
1
L
14.01.23
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
1
L
17.10.21
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
4
1
L
17.04.21
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
2
L
26.08.16
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
2
0
L
18.10.15
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
1
1
D
24.04.15
H2H
Marseille
Lorient
3
5
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation