GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
09.09.2026 15:00
Spaeri Stadium
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Rustavi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
nika chagunava
Spaeri
26'
Gocha tsirdava
Spaeri
🟨
31'
Shotiko Andghuladze
Rustavi
33'
jean · Assist: Nikoloz Chikovani
Rustavi
🟨
36'
giga samcharadze
Spaeri
🔄
46'
Giorgi Bunturi ↔ Giorgi Grigalashvili
Spaeri
🔄
56'
Martin Gambos ↔ kenio jackson
Rustavi
🟨
71'
Temuri tsalughelashvili
Spaeri
🔄
72'
Yuta nakano ↔ Nika japaridze
Rustavi
🔄
74'
Temuri tsalughelashvili ↔ d giorgi tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🟨
76'
Saba gegiadze
Spaeri
🟨
79'
Luka·Parkadze
Rustavi
🔄
83'
Lasha Kokhreidze ↔ zakaria basilashvili
Spaeri
🔄
83'
nika chagunava ↔ Zurab Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
85'
Luka·Parkadze ↔ Giorgi Ksovreli
Rustavi
🔄
85'
Avtandil gujabidze ↔ kevin ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
86'
Saba gegiadze ↔ Revazi Injgia
Spaeri

Spaeri vs Rustavi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.7%
1.97
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.93
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 24.5%
Draw 5.8%
Rustavi Win 69.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.25
Rustavi1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
44 GF / 48 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
39 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1
21
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
16
1.67
Shots on Goal
0.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 31 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 31 matches
Spaeri Statistic Rustavi
7 Wins 14
12 Draws 8
12 Losses 9
44 Goals For 39
48 Goals Against 31
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1
21 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 21
19 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 7
1.67 Shots On Goal 0.57
3 Total Shots 1
1.17 Corners 0.86
8.5% Ball Possession 6.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rustavi's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rustavi. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rustavi carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 42 points while Spaeri sit 9 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 23 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 30:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rustavi Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 42 points from 23 games, Rustavi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 4 times, Rustavi won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Spaeri's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri 4-2-3-1 / Rustavi 4-3-3
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 4, draws 3, Rustavi wins 6

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 12 7 6 31:21 10 43
D L D W W
2 25 12 7 6 41:32 9 43
W W W W W
3 24 10 9 5 36:27 9 39
D D W L W
4 23 11 4 8 32:27 5 37
L W L L W
5 24 11 3 10 31:25 6 36
W W L D W
6 25 8 9 8 38:29 9 33
D D L D W
7 25 9 5 11 34:46 -12 32
L L D W L
8 25 6 10 9 24:32 -8 28
D L W L D
9 25 5 10 10 33:38 -5 25
D D L L D
10 25 2 10 13 19:42 -23 16
D D W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2