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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
25.10.2026 16:15
Orange Vélodrome

Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Le Havre Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.37
Le Havre1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
Le Havre Le Havre
WLDWL
17 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 10 matches
Le Havre Le Havre 12 matches
Marseille Statistic Le Havre
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
14 Goals For 17
19 Goals Against 16
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
6 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 5
13.33 Total Shots 15.6
4.33 Corners 5.6
54.7% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 7 times, Le Havre won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:6 from Marseille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.14 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-1-4-1 / Le Havre 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 7, draws 0, Le Havre wins 0

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
8 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
9 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
10 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
11 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
12 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
13 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
14 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
15 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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