Marseille
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 59.7%
Draw 5.5%
Atletico Madrid Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.8
Atletico Madrid1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
5 GF / 5 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
3 matches
Atletico Madrid
3 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 6 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 0 times, Atletico Madrid won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Marseille's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 0, draws 0, Atletico Madrid wins 2
Lineups
Marseille
Formation
Atletico Madrid
J. De Lange
T. Weah
L. Balerdi
G. Kondogbia
Emerson
H. Abdelli
P. Hojbjerg
A. Harit
A. Gomes
I. Paixao
A. Gouiri
J. Oblak
G. Simeone
J. Dominguez
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
A. Grimaldo
P. Barrios
Koke
J. Cardoso
Lee Kang-In
A. Lookman
Marseille
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. De Lange
22
T. Weah
↓ 87'
5
L. Balerdi
↓ 82'
🟨 48'
19
G. Kondogbia
↓ 82'
🟨 62'
33
Emerson
↓ 87'
8
H. Abdelli
↓ 76'
23
P. Hojbjerg
77
A. Harit
↓ 87'
7
A. Gomes
↓ 76'
14
I. Paixao
⚽ 22'
↓ 82'
🟨 41'
9
A. Gouiri
Substitutes
41
I. Gomis
92
T. Vermot
46
A. Koum Mbondo
↑ 82'
74
K. Bezahaf
↑ 87'
25
U. Garcia
↑ 87'
45
M. Baradji
27
Q. Timber
↑ 76'
6
T. Nnadi
↑ 76'
43
T. Mmadi
↑ 82'
48
K. Abdallah
↑ 87'
11
N. Maupay
↑ 82'
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
13
J. Oblak
20
G. Simeone
↓ 36'
🟨 5'
27
J. Dominguez
↓ 70'
24
R. Le Normand
↓ 69'
🟨 17'
17
D. Hancko
↓ 70'
22
A. Grimaldo
↓ 36'
8
P. Barrios
↓ 46'
6
Koke
↓ 56'
5
J. Cardoso
↓ 56'
7
Lee Kang-In
↓ 36'
11
A. Lookman
🎯 39'
↓ 70'
Substitutes
31
S. Esquivel
55
D. Rubio
2
J. Gimenez
↑ 69'
32
J. Bonar
↑ 70'
18
M. Pubill
↑ 70'
30
D. Martinez
↑ 36'
15
T. Lemar
23
M. Hjulmand
↑ 56'
21
O. Vargas
↑ 56'
12
C. Martin
⚽ 78'
↑ 36'
4
R. Mendoza
⚽ 39'
↑ 36'
54
A. Ortiz
🎯 78'
↑ 46'
46
J. Castillo
↑ 70'
61
M. Cubo
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
19.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
H2H: Marseille vs Atletico Madrid
14.08.26
H2H
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
16.05.18
H2H
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
0
3
L
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
H2H at home: Marseille
14.08.26
H2H
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
16.05.18
H2H
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
0
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
14.08.26
H2H
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
16.05.18
H2H
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
0
3
W