UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
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Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maroons Win 56.9%
Draw 7.4%
Entebbe UPPC Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maroons0.84
Entebbe UPPC0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maroons Maroons
WWDLW
25 GF / 24 GA
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC
WLDWL
25 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maroons Maroons 27 matches
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC 27 matches
Maroons Statistic Entebbe UPPC
8 Wins 13
10 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
25 Goals For 25
24 Goals Against 19
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
9 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Entebbe UPPC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Entebbe UPPC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Maroons Analysis

Maroons sit 9 with 34 points after 27 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 25:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Mayanja (5 goals), I. Asaba (4 goals), R. Walugembe (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Entebbe UPPC Analysis

Entebbe UPPC sit 6 with 46 points after 27 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 25:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Kigozi (11 goals), F. Tumwine (2 goals), I. Bugembe (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maroons won 0 times, Entebbe UPPC won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Maroons's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
H2H summary: Maroons wins 0, draws 2, Entebbe UPPC wins 0
Last matches: Maroons
23.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Lugazi
1
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Vipers
0
3
L
07.05.26
Pre
Maroons
KCCA
0
3
L
28.04.26
Pre
Maroons
URA
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pre
Maroons
Police
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
Maroons
Mbarara City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Maroons
NEC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pre
Maroons
BUL
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Maroons
UPDF
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Calvary
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Express
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
Maroons
SC Villa
0
2
L
12.02.26
Pre
Maroons
Kitara
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Mbarara City
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Maroons
KCCA
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Maroons
Express
4
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
Maroons
Kitara
0
2
L
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
23.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
4
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Police
1
1
D
07.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
W
29.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
0
1
L
16.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
1
0
W
18.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
1
0
W
11.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
2
0
W
H2H: Maroons vs Entebbe UPPC
12.05.26
H2H
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
27.01.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
Last matches: Maroons
19.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Vipers
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Maroons
Police
3
1
W
08.04.26
Pre
Maroons
BUL
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Maroons
UPDF
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pre
Maroons
Kitara
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Mbarara City
1
1
D
21.01.26
Pre
Maroons
KCCA
0
0
D
17.12.25
Pre
Maroons
Express
4
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Maroons
SC Villa
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Maroons
NEC
1
1
D
25.11.25
Pre
Maroons
Lugazi
3
0
W
05.11.25
Pre
Maroons
URA
0
0
D
22.10.25
Pre
Maroons
Calvary
0
0
D
H2H at home: Maroons
12.05.26
H2H
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
19.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Police
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
3
L
16.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
1
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
1
D
27.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
2
0
W
07.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
4
2
W
15.10.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Entebbe UPPC
12.05.26
H2H
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League